and now back to our regularly scheduled program....

Started by covelj70, April 16, 2013, 07:07:22 AM

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Wrongly

To each their own, my opinion is pedigree has a great deal to do with surface preference and stamina.

TGJB

Balto Star was one of the first Pletcher/Allday horses. I have been told Allday got nervous about helping the horse in the Derby, when he ran a stinker. No idea if that part is true and Allday ain\'t nervous no more.
TGJB

richiebee

covelj70 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> ......
>
> I mean, I hate to interupt all of the riveting
> arguments about drugs, golf, and sports announcers
> but there is a little race coming up called the
> Kentucky Derby so I thought I would see if I could
> get us back on track (pun intended) here and pose
> a question for the board.

Mission 2/3rds accomplished! 24 hours, no golf, no sports announcers....
but DRUGS came back stronger than ever! All day long! Is it true
that HRTV and TVG are, as I write this, bidding to see who gets the
rights to stream the feed of the 24 hour surveillance camera in Vyjack\'s
stall? What good is a horse\'s stall that no one can take a leak in the corner
of?

A college chum of mine once commented that \"Reality is just a crutch for people
who can\'t handle DRUGS\". And because the powers that be have a wonderful sense of
humor, said chum is now one of Louisville\'s prominent...anesthesiologists.

arosenzweig

Not saying he is going to run well but Frac Daddy hated Gulfstream

toppled

My thoughts before the Arkansas Derby was if Frac Daddy runs big, it will confirm my thoughts that Orb & Itsmyluckyday are coming out of the classiest prep race.  At this point I like those 2 both to hit the board with Lines of Battle thrown in for the price to juice up the exotics & logical horses Java War & Verrazano in the mix. I believe that the Ark Derby lacked class and if you drop a horse low enough, he can look as good as Overanalyze did. If Jerry is anywhere near Beyer\'s number, when I put a line through the Remsen, OA is too slow to contend in the Derby.

covelj70

Toppled,

I am not saing you are wrong with any of your conclusions whatsoever but I can tell you the TGs for the Ark Derby were VERY different from the Beyers which should have been obvious (even I figured it out in an earlier post) based on the weights and ground loss for Overanalyze vs. Cyber Secret

justwin

I also believe that when a horse wins as easily as Overanalyze did he could have run faster with some competition to the wire so I would adjust his ark derby number even lower when I look at the ky derby. And the bigger plus was that with 3 weeks out he was not used up. not saying I like overanalyze just giving my opinion on how I look at a race with an easy winner.