ROTW

[kev]

Top pick-- Lead Story (15-1)coming back around to the 1 level. I Also like Awesome Humor a little bit.

[derby1592]

Kev,

I have to go along with the ROTW analysis. My Trusty Cat looks like the key at the morning line with a lot of respect for Yell. Awesome Humor looks like a big underlay.

I cannot share your enthusiasm on Lead Story. That looks more like a \"false\" recovery pattern to me but you might be right and you will likely get a good price on her.

The one that looks more like she might be coming back to her best form to me is Lakenheath but at 5/1 she is still an underlay.

Looks like a decent betting race.

Good luck.

Chris

[Mall]

It would be a great betting race if Yell scratched. The best reason I could come up with for betting that she will run worse than 2nd is Shug\'s record shipping to CD since Personal Ensign. Of course, perhaps no reason is necessary for a deep closer breaking from an outside post which will probably go off an even money or less.

I agree Trusty Cat is live & I intend to use her, but doesn\'t she have even more of a tendency to run wide than Lakenheath? The one major disagreement I have with the analysis is re the chances of Salzurita, my exotics key at what I\'m hoping will be more than than the 15-1 ML. CD is the kind of track some horses simply cannot handle, and one turn mile races out of the chute are something of a speciality. Salzurita earned her top in a fast paced one mile race at CD, & I think showed versatiliy & increased maturity in her 2 Mnr wins. The only thing that has me wondering is the lack of any published works for more than a month for Murty, a subject I plan to investigate as soon as I am done typing this. Good Luck.

[kev]

I don\'t see why MY Trusty Cat is a key horse, yes the horse had a nice moving line at 2 and runs the 2.1 top, but the fact the horse hasnt run back to it yet is something I don\'t like. At best the horse will pair up her last number the 3.1. At 15-1 yes a must use, Born To Dance flat looking line not for me, Meteor Miracle to slow for this group, Awesome Humor is just a bit faster than the last, but the reason why I like this one a bit is the small move to a new top she made two races back and then only goes back a pt, has had enough time to run a new top. LakenHeath at best will run back to the 3.3 in her last, ouchy looking line. Salzurita hard line to read, Lead Story nice circling around to the 1.2 number. Yell looks to bounce off that last number, but how much?? could still get a share of this in here but not a soild choice at 7-5. Mayo on the Side nice looking line to pair up the 2.2 only knock on this one the short rest. Rhiana the 4.0 top won\'t do it in here, past.

[jbelfior]

Kev--

Congratulations....terrific tout. Keep it going in the contest.



good Luck,
joe b.

[Silver Charm]

Great Pick Kev,

You da man (or girl??)!!

[kev]

Da Man. Thanks I will try to keep it going in the contest wed. They have two baby 2yo races sit up for the contest. So they are always tough to cap.

[Josephus]

Just got to read the ROTW analysis tonight (11/13)....sometimes it\'s interesting to read the analysis after the fact.  My play on the race was one unit bet on exactas with All over Trusty Cat and Lead Story, and also both horses in the third spot in triples underneath a few favotites. I also bet one unit on both to win,unfortunately I decided to go 75% Trusty Cat and 25% Lead Story ...however at $73 to win it was still a nice score.  Once again thank you JB and TG, reaffirming my switch from Rags to TG.