More questions for JB

Started by kev, September 28, 2003, 07:53:05 PM

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kev

1. At HOO Race 2 on the 27th--There were two horse\'s in this race AVIATION VACATION and SWEET SAILIN in which both comes off a layoff and runs a number and goes backward off that number and then in their last they circle back around to that first number that ran off the layoff. Is this something that is a strong pattern or would you like to see them move a little bit past that first number. AV won this race paid 81.80 and SS ran second. Your thoughts??

2. At MNR Race 6 on the 27th--ESPEEDO ran the 9 back on 6/28 and makes a nice loop around in his last would this be a nice play in your eyes, at odds of 24-1??? I see this type of looping at which they seem to run something more often than not.

Thanks again...........

TGJB

Boy, you found a couple of good ones all right (hopefully before the race). The one at Mnr would have been a bet to me at 1/3 the price-- cycling at intervals, and the timing is right.

The Hoo winner could have been an odds play to me, but not because of the short term pattern-- none of his 3 races since the layoff was a top, so you don\'t really know how to classify the short term pattern. But it took him a couple of races to get to good ones in 2 previous campaigns, the trainer is weak early in campaigns (see layoff and second out stats) but better overall, meaning they get better with racing, and this one had decent numbers before the layoff.

The second finisher would have been a tough use for me-- big circles to a number that hurt before often lead to more pain. But with the price on the winner the exacta should not be relevent-- I seldom use extreme longshots on top if I\'m keying them outright. That\'s why they have win betting.

TGJB