Chaotic Results

Started by jbelfior, June 13, 2011, 09:27:12 AM

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Topcat

Sarava was the ONLY horse on a speed-crazy Preakness card to wholly thumb his nose at the bias.   I was there, watching every blooomin\' race.

In addition to his foundation, Birdstone had two of the great throwout excuses of all time for his two races leading into the Belmont, and was absolutely one of the great Belmont opportunities in my lifetime.

All that said, Monmouth Guy is right.  It\'s tough to get a fair price on a TC bomb these days, domestically.  ROI was 50-1 all over Britain.   If you\'re married to
the gimmicks, yeah, you\'re stuck, but domestic straight players who like this stuff now need realistic international outs and/or Betfair, no two ways about it.

HP

Amen Jimbo.  Annoying.  Put up (before the race) or shut up.  It\'s very simple.  At most you can simply say \"I had it.\"  One line.  That\'s as far as you can go.  You can\'t advance all of your theories after the fact.  It\'s against all the rules.  Throwing 8 in the bucket is not something too many of us need dissected after the fact...  

This one tougher than average to get over.  I did not like Stay Thirsty, should have (SHOULDA) thrown in at that price, but I had to bet 5 hours ahead of time.  Congrats to whoever hit and for what it\'s worth I think the TGs were very useful in getting there.  HP

JR

I agree this has become annoying. Just to clarify and then let\'s drop it, I didn\'t post to say I had it. I posted in response to the suggestion that the result was \"chaotic\" or random. I think, in hindsight, there were reasons not to dismiss the winner so easily before the race and not to discredit his win after the race by saying it was simply a random event. That\'s all.
JR

HP

Come on.  You have 11 posts on this thread.  Dropping it would have been a great idea awhile ago.  HP

JR

JR

jumpnthefire

i wish 1 pressed the all button in the brooklyn double did that a few years ago with Big Brown no guts no glory lol

hotspringskid

I already posted that BS blew up my tri and super. I keyed ROI and Nehro over ST, AK, Santiva, and Shack. Sometimes you have to take a shot and overlook some negatives, the main one being his sprint pedigree. I wish in hindsight I had posted before the race. I didn\'t want some of the big money on this forum to ruin my odds, but maybe someone would have thrown him in and made some serious money since I didn\'t. The front runner bias definitely helped since he was likely to be near the front with the blinkers. I am on a roll though. I predicted the last place finisher in all 3 triple crown races. Where do I bet on that.

drbillym

MJ, I would vote for #3 and we\'ll see some action today.  Pants On Fire won\'t tell us much, but if Breen pairs up the double with A Brilliant Idea, maybe you are on to something.
Thanks for pointing out Midnight Interlude on the grass-interesting to see where Baffert puts him next.
Fastest Magician for Barclay in the 8th at Belmont looks to be in a good spot at a good price.  Really stepped up on turf(yielding) and should be able to control the pace.