I can't look at this stuff anymore....

Started by jack72906, April 30, 2010, 08:48:03 AM

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jack72906

I have so many numbers and percentages rattling around in my head that it\'s time to stop looking and just make some decisions.

A wide open field where any of us could probably make a case for at least half the field to win the race. I\'m going with the percentages....

Key:

Super Saver-Great pattern, should save ground, can move over the slop, Borel is worth a point IMO, has a win over the track, and should be a decent price. He has questions to answer, but fewer than several others and he has a lot of percentages in his favor. Have to take chance somewhere and I\'m doing it with SS.

Others:

Discreetly Mine-I\'ve heard that he just looks great this week. I like his pattern and he could run a new top IMO. He has a good running style and if he gets a good break I think he hangs around and could have a shot to get there.

Mission Impazible- Love his running style and should be mid pack maybe 3w going into the first turn. I have him mid-pack on the back stretch and able to get first run on the leaders. I\'m not worried about the 14 pp because there will be a gap between 14 and the aux gate that is 15. He should break well. I think he could run a new top also, but he needs to jump a minimum of 4 points to get to the wire first. Underneath and in Tri-Box.

Lookin\' At Lucky-I can\'t stand the backward move in his last, but I think Gomez will work out a trip to get a piece of it. He\'s game, trains well, and he can obviously overcome a lot. I love all the \"he only has 1 figure that can win this race\" talk. The funny thing is that aside from AL he\'s the only one in the field that has run a figure that can win here.

American Lion-Tough to throw out the only other horse in the field to run a figure that can win it. Maybe a Papa Clem type of race from last year to hit the board? I\'ll take my chances to find out at his price.

To round out Super

All

Of course this could all change if certain trainers horses aren\'t running well and any last minute scratches and or obvious track bias throughout the day. I probably have a better chance at hitting the $224M Lottery tonight, but you still have to take a shot though.

Good luck everyone and thanks for all of the insightful thoughts and analysis over the last couple of months.