J.B,S TIDS AND BIDS

[yzaim9303]

GIVE YOU 10 MORE MONDAY MORNING IF ANY BODY WANTS.

[jack72906]

Thanks but I\'ll just settle for turning off the Caps lock.

[Sandreadis]

Bring it on. What is not to like about quoting one of the best figure makers in the world with many years of experience and data.
I\'m surprised more people aren\'t interested in learning to think like TGJB/AB.
I learn something every time I read their ROW or analysis.

FYI- There has been a capper on the \"other\" site that has IMO had a very impressive couple weeks calling grass races mostly out west. Worth a look just don\'t buy the data. To clarify that capper is definitely not Len who ended a VERY long losing streak this week.

[yzaim9303]

Thanks SANREADIS,
I agree everything you said, here are what I think best of J.B.


1- Pairing his previous top  first out this year, a good sign.

2- Sometimes big efforts close together take a lot out of a young Horse.

3-- Goodhorses should be running top efforts often, usually at least every other run.

4-- A  typical stake-level grass horse, in that he runs his top or close to it in every start.

5- the new top,  was a small incremental step, just thetype of new top that is sustainable, not depleting, less likely to incur an adverse reaction. Any new top can set a horse back or stymie development,but often small steps forward paradoxically signal that even better is coming and soon. Explosive pattern.

6- After two forward moves, the gas tank is usually depleted.

7- Tight pairs, and by tight we mean shortly spaced, especially in young horses, denote that the horse can handle the performance level and presage
imminent improvement.

8- while tops can be an immediate whammy, the flip side is that slight new tops evince a developing equine, one that is perhaps in the midst of growth surge.

9- Tight pairs (and by tight we mean shortly spaced) often imply the level was within the ability of the horse and augurs for better soon

10- Stakes level 3yos often do pair up top efforts.

11- New tops have license to always set a horse back,but a good, healthy horse should be able to get back to its top fairly quickly.

12- As we said, until a horse levels off, there is no way to know what
his top is.

13- When we evaluate cycles, we look at three things—whether the best effort in each cycle was better or worse than previous ones, whether the time between tops is getting shorter or longer, and whether the off races in each cycle are getting better or worse.

14- Horses that stay at the same level for an extended period of time and then jump are far more likely to go back than forward again.