This Sunshine Millions Classic looks juicy

Started by covelj70, January 21, 2009, 06:00:06 PM

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covelj70

I am anxious to hear what others think but my first take is that there\'s a very good chance that the top two morning line choices finish out of the money.

Delightful Kiss looks set up to bounce even if he hadn\'t drawn a terrible post and Macho Again has only run 1 number that would give him a shot here and he has never run a number going two turns that would make him live here.

Atoned, Dry Martini and It\'s a Bird all look very live and the prices should be good there.  I especially like Atoned with paired tops, rest and the words from Pletcher that they have pointed him here ever since the Meadowlands race.  He\'s a very good play at the 5-1 ML with some value likely to come in underneath in the exotics.

Thoughts?

Silver Charm

5-1 on Atoned is not a good value play in my mind, maybe about 8-1. He did pop a good number last year first out at Tampa so maybe he runs well fresh but he is going to need to be seriously cranked off the bench in this big field.

Which direction is Its A Bird going in after that last when he was moved up to previous year tops after shifting barns from Pletcher to Wolfson.

Tagg got the most out of Dry Martini when he had him the first go around but the inner dirt this isn\'t.

Hey Byrn has little going for him other than he likes GP. Back on short rest in needed mental prep. Owns fastest fig in the field over this track. Demand value for the risk/reward.

covelj70

Thanks for the thoughts.

who do you like if you don\'t like the top 2 or the 4 others you mentioned, or maybe you like the top 2?

thanks again

Silver Charm

Finallymadeit looks like he has another double digit number coming but he did not have these same bow patterns as a 3yo and was quick enough then and now to take this from the rail on the lead.

If he is 25-1 or more don\'t leave him off the ticket.

big18741

No pace in this field.

At the odds-I\'ll play the iron horse on the rail to fire.

firmturf

There seems to be a few angles one could go in this race.

I came back to the other Repent, Famous Patriot in the 11 hole at 20/1 ml. Hate the post but has a prep and ran well enough while being a 2nd time 4yo for this. Was able to get to a 2.1 twice prior to racing bad in Indiana and the wet NY. If one can forgive those maybe he\'s set to run a new top.

Castellano has to work a trip from over there. He used to be a need the lead type last year at GP and now looks like he can relax a little. I would be curios how the race shapes see his last. He was close to the pace at every call in the Lay-1 then tired.  

Wish I had a better post and a little more time between races.....

drbillym

Dry Martini had little chance against a speed favoring inner Aqueduct track last out.  Gulfstream has always been his favorite track, and his 59.4 work was an indication he is fit and ready.  When he finished 4th in 2007, Cornelio regretted not moving sooner as he had a lot of horse left.  Looking for an honest effort today, and hopefully finishing first.