Why, barring injury, Big Brown will win the Belmont.

[horseprofiler]

Hi. I think Bib Brown will win the Belmont for the following reasons. First, I want to thank Thorograph for putting up the numbers for a race like the Preakness on the Race of the Week. I have paid for TG numbers in the past and will in the future, but this was a nice gesture. Now, Big Brown. This is how I see it. Big Brown is a lightly raced horse overall. He ran a negative 4 3/4 in the Derby. For comparison, Gato Del Sol ran a positive 4 3/4 to win the Derby in 1982. Big Brown\'s sheet is the sheet of an incredible horse. To run a negative 4 3/4 in only your fourth start at a distance you have never run before is incredible. From reading posts, I see BB got a negative one in the Preakness. this is a good thing. He won the race with a number that is 3 3/4 points from his top. I know in traditional analysis of a pattern, this could be a bad sign. I am actually posting this because of a man who said he is going to bet against Big Brown. I would only bet against him if I thought he was going to break down.
     Casino Drive ran a 0 in the Peter Pan and will have more rest. He is a half to Jazil and Rags to Riches. Jazil ran a 1 1/4 to win Belmont. Rags to Riches ran a negative 1 1/2 to win the Belmont. Big Brown can run a lot faster than that. I don\'t believe we have seen BB\'s best yet.
     I hope he will run against older horses later in the year, especially Curlin. I think BB is a heck of a breeding prospect. He is not only already one of the fastest horses of all time, but jockey Kent Desormeaux said that mentally BB is a very superior horse. I guess he\'s talking about his desire to race and his demeanor. I talked to a bloodstock agent yesterday and he said BB winning the Belmont would be good for the industry as a whole. I may or may not bet, but I believe we should all be rooting for Big Brown.