I haven\'t had a chance to work through a rough stab at a calculation yet.

If he was in the 0 range, then at least there are a few horses that have some shot at denying BB the triple crown.

Dennis of Cork
Tale of Ekatki
Casino Drive (?)

all with 0\'s and will come in fresh.  

Let\'s say that BB bounces to a 1 negative or 2 negative this weekend but wins easily and then and comes into the Belmont with a 3.75 negative 4.75 negative, 1 negative, pattern on 3 weeks rest.  It\'s totally reasonable then to play him to back up again in which case any one of 3 horses pairing their top could beat him.

The line in Vegas to go against BB to win the triple crown is -185.  What do we think of those odds?