Juveniles- 1/1/16

[jennatongtrento]

Does Pyro bounce..last race was a monster with a BAD trip....
How far can Kodiak Kowboy Go..

[jennatongtrento]

Does Pyro Bounce...

[MonmouthGuy]

If today was any indication, Kodiak Kowboy quits like a cheap claimer around the far turn, despite any \"analysis\" suggesting otherwise.

[elkurzhal]

Breeders\' Cup Juvenile
1 Z Humor / Kent Desormeaux / William I. Mott / Zayat Stables LLC / 12-1
3 pt top last time to a competitive number.  That is in the range where it is real difficult to run a consecutive top.   Sounds like he may be feeling the effects too, as he really fell apart in his last work. Pass.

2 War Pass / Cornelio Velasquez / Nicholas P. Zito / Robert V. LaPenta / 5-2
Will see two turns for the first time, but has proven ability at a mile, and could move forward.  If the swamp (track) is killing the speed he could be in trouble, otherwise he is a Contender.

3 Kodiak Kowboy / John Velazquez / Steven M. Asmussen / Vinery Stables / 8-1
Ran the fastest of fig of any of these two back sprinting at the spa and bounced last time.  Can't see any runner by Posse winning a BC race other than the sprint, but he is a decent price and the connections can't be tossed completely. Playable in exotics

SCR  Slew\'s Tiznow / Julien Leparoux / Francois Parisel / Joseph LaCombe Stables, Inc. / SCR

5 Shore Do / Mike Smith / Chuck Peery / Mike Connors, Terry and Kevin Jacobsen, Jim Hawkins / 30-1
Though he had a shot to run a new top here until the rains came, his sire hated it wet, and seems to be passing it on.  Wouldn't be shocked if they scratched.  Pass

6 Overextended / Frankie Dettori / Doug F. O\'Neill / J. Paul Reddam / 50-1
The name says it all. Pass

7 Pyro / Shaun Bridgmohan / Steven M. Asmussen / Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC / 6-1
Ran a big one last time going a mile.  It was a 5 pt top though, which is a little dubious, especially since his dam, and older sis, each only managed 1 career start.  Even so 6-1 is about the right price and a pair up with an OK trip puts him right there. Borderline Contender.

8 Globalization / Javier Castellano / Richard Violette Jr. / Klaravich Stables, Inc. and William Lawrence / 20-1
Ran a big one breaking his mdn last time at a mile.  It was a huge top though, and he did it on an easy lead.  Probably going to give a lot of ground and be going faster early than he wants. Pass.

9 Old Man Buck / Rafael Bejarano / Kenneth G. McPeek / Lawrence E. Carroll / 20-1
McPeek ran him on turf, because there are no 2 turn dirt races for 2 yo's at Ellis.  Last was really good, but was a huge top, and he like Globalization is used to the lead, and is going to lose a lot of ground.  Pass

10 Tale of Ekati / Eibar Coa / Barclay Tagg / Charles Fipke / 7-2
Don't like the price, post or fireball workout, but he has been consistent and fast.  Races are well spaced and could run a top here.  Showed quite a bit of athleticism working inside last time and IF he can do that again he'll be right there. Contender

SCR Dixie Chatter / Ricahrd Migliore / Richard E. Mandella / Herman Sarkowsky / SCR

12 Salute the Sarge / David Flores / Eric Guillot / Southern Equine Stables LLC / 12-1
Ran three straight good ones, and could run a new top switching to dirt here.  Dam and a couple siblings have run well on off tracks.  He's probably going to lose some ground too Guillot isn't exactly lighting the world on fire either  so I can't back him on top, but he is Playable in exotics

13 Wicked Style / Robby Albarado / George R. Arnold III / Ashbrook Farm / 10-1
Two fast figs and wins at a mile +, and his Dad won the race so he's a contender.  Hey that's not any goofier than the Win and you in promotion they did this year. Contender

Summary
Win Contenders: War Pass,  Pyro, Tale of Ekati,  Wicked Style
Playable in exotics: Salute the Sarge,  Kodiak Kowboy