Some Saturday BC Picks/Keys

[jimbo66]

Richie, thanks for the welcome back.

Let\'s make some money on Saturday!

The Sprint becomes an even more bettable race for me with the scratch of Attila\'s Storm.  I hate to bet on a horse that I said I would never bet on again, but Commentator looks really interesting as a key now.  He will like the wet track and without Attila, he might be able to clear early and get to the lead.  3 months rest is his best chance and so it is now or never.  He has those negative 5\'s to run to, albeit all in weak competition where he bullied slow horses.  But I am ok poetentially being wrong about Commentator again, at 6-1, instead of wrong at 8-5 or lower, like he usually goes off.

I hate to jump on Michael D\'s bandwagon and potentially jinx his pick but I really like Precious Kitten in the F&M Turf. I don\'t expect anywhere near the 30-1 ML odds, but she looks like lone speed, around 3 turns, and her figures are good enough to win.  Of course, the distance is a , but I will accept question marks on longshots, the price is right on her.

Kip Deville in the mile looks real live to me.  Tactical speed, solid figures, and Dutrow.  SHould be able to work out a trip from very near the lead.  

In the distaff it will be real tough to clear the field from the outside post, but I think Hysterical Lady might be able to do that and she looks good to me, coming off the mediocre synthetic race.  How many times do we have to see those mediocre synthetic races propel a horse into a solid dirt race, to realize we can throw the synthetic races out.  I think Lady Joanne could be usable here as well, but the 6-1 morning line is light, because she has to improve to win.  But she has never gone backwards and might just jump up.  A forward move, while saving ground with Borel, makes her tough, but I need more than 6-1 (which I think will happen).  She is also coming off a synthetic race.

In the Classic, it will be no surprise to any regular posters here that I like Any Given Saturday, although I think Street Sense is also going to be tough here.  I see a race where Hard Spun leaves the gate hard, with Lawyer Ron from the rail also leaving.  Johnny takes Lawyer Ron up and lets Hard Spun go to the rail, and going into the turn Lawyer Ron gets positioned off the flank of Hard Spun in \"attack mode\".  AGS has tactical speed and unless Diamond Stripes leaves the gate hard, AGS should get the catbird\'s seat, right off the two leaders.  You know the horse likes Monmouth and although the 1 1/4 might be a question mark, I think I get 5-1 on a very fast horse who will get a dream trip IMO.  I hate Curlin here, as I said before the Haskell he won\'t like the Monmouth track and although his figure wound up being pretty good, anybody who saw him running on the turns in the haskell, knows he visually didn\'t look good.  The horse is made for the turns at Belmont, not Monmouth. (see Midnight Lute as well, he will hate Monmouth and be off the board)  

Good luck to all.

[Michael D.]

Hi Jim,

I\'m actually going with a different longshot in the F&M turf. I like Danzon. I thought that was an interesting angle on PK though, and the price is right.

I like Lady Joanne as well. a strong shot to move forward, likely to the \'1\' lvl, maybe to the \'0\' lvl. she gets weight, gets a great post and jock, and seems well suited to run over the slop. with the Pletchers drawing outside, a ground saving \'0\' or even \'1\' will put her right there.