Martinis Atmidnite-Good call, but why?

[rickard]

I have been ordering the TG sheets for the last few months now, with solid results. Perhaps beginners luck, as some patterns fool me completely. A good example is the excellent call on Martinis Atmidnite in yesterdays DMR 3rd. A field of in and outers on the bottom, with this filly the longest shot on the board. Yet, in your suggested plays sheet, you put her out saying \"is forward going\" . What does this mean in this filly\'s case? It looked to me that one of these would throw a 10 or 11, and I couldn\'t see Martinis Atmidnite improving that much. Sure, off the triple top of 15-2 maybe a breakout of a few points, but enough to win this dash(?)-I didn\'t think so, and the public either as seen in the price.

I would appreciate any additional input into this recommednation so I may utilize the TG sheets to the fullest.

Thanks much

[TGJB]

My apologies for not replying sooner.
You mentioned this was a field of in and outers.  Another expression for that pattern is “ouchy.”  
To put it bluntly, this was a field of cripples—except for Martinis Atmidnite.  Further, I regard
the line for Martinis as explosive.  I played the horse to run a 12, a number giving it legitimate
winning chances here.  (This particular line—a pair up of its 3yo top in a lightly-raced 4yo—seems
to produce new tops.)  
Having said this, my suggestion to you is to ignore what I’ve said.  Rather than mimic my plays,
continue doing what it sounds like you’re doing, i.e., developing your own style and strategies for
handicapping and betting.  Naturally you can keep plays like this in mind, perhaps looking over
the lines of older horses, seeing how this kind of play does in future bets, etc.  Over time, if you
think this play can produce a ROI, add it to your betting repertoire.  This way, you won’t undermine
what you’ve accomplished so far by going after some dangling carrot.  
Continued success.