Jerry

Started by Michael D., August 24, 2006, 12:45:09 PM

do you handicap one turn and turn routes differently?

is it just a matter of looking at individual horses, or do you use some kind of rule?



August 24, 2006, 12:45:09 PM
TGJB: ROTW-- don\'t know yet.

Michael-- I look at individual horses, no rule. I\'m more likely to bet a horse first time long if it\'s one turn.
August 24, 2006, 02:03:58 PM
jbelfior: Agreed.

A N.Y. jockey also agrees with the more likely success of a sprinter stretching out to a 1 1/8th at Belmont as opposed to Aqueduct or Saratoga.

His explanation was that they do not have to change leads as many times around 1 turn.


Good Luck,
Joe B.


 
August 24, 2006, 02:44:50 PM
bobphilo: Don't think an extra lead change would be tiring. In fact alternating their action could delay fatigue.
Could be that horses stretching out are more likely to race forwardly and, with the short run to the first turn at Aqueduct and the Spa, have to battle wide early if they don't clear to the rail.
I think a lot depends on the individual circumstance rather than a hard and fast rule.

Bob
August 24, 2006, 04:30:52 PM
marcus: Jerry - just handicapping my 4 wknd ph contest races and I\'m on the Barnard Baruch and I come across Etasaal who has been gelded 11 times - wow . This horse ran at the NAD so you might know the answer - how many times can a horse be Gelded over there ?  Also , can a horse ever become \" Un-Gelded \" ? I\'m going w/Sixtey Rockets to pop a number in the Ballston saturday ( no pun intended ) ...  
August 24, 2006, 08:12:23 PM
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