Triple Crown negative TG fig horses

[ezgoer89]

Barbaro  -2.5 Derby (4 top)

Bro Derek -0.5 San Rafael (1.75 top), 0.5 Santa Cat, 0.5 SA Derby, -0.5 Derby

SNS  -1.25 Ill Derby (2.25 top), 4.25 Derby

Sinister Minister  -4.5 Blue Grass (8 top), 11.5 Derby

Keyed Entry  -1 Hutcheson (4 top), 1 Gotham, 2.5 Wood, 17.5 Derby

Afleet Alex  -0.5 Southwest (3 top), 11.5 Rebel, -2 Ark Derby, 2.5 Derby,
             -3 Preakness, -0.5 Belmont

Bellamy Road -0.25 Fla Derby (5.75 top), -5 Wood (4.75 top), 4.25 Derby

Greelys Galaxy -2 Ill Derby (6.75 top), 3.75 Derby, 7.75 Preakness

Bandini -3.25 Blue Grass (7 top), 17.75 Derby

Smarty -3.75 Rebel (3.75 top), -1.75 Ark Derby, -1.75 Derby, -3.75 Preakness,
       -0.75 Belmont

Lion Heart  -1 Blue Grass (1.5 top), 0 Derby, 2.5 Preakness

Cliff\'s Edge  -1 Blue Grass (3.5 top), 3.25 Derby

Purge  -1 Peter Pan (1 top), 15.25 Belmont

Funny Cide -1.5 Preakness (3 top), 2.25 Belmont

Table Limit -1.5 Lexington (6 top), 14 Preakness

Monarchos -0.75 Derby (1 top), 5 Preakness, 3 Belmont

War Emblem -0.5 Derby (1.5 top), 1 Preakness, 10 Belmont

Millennium Wind  -0.25 Blue Grass (5.75 top), 8.5 Derby

Birdstone, Ten Most Wanted and Point Given all ran their first negative numbers in the Belmont.

As an aside... Empire Maker, 0 Fl Derby (6 top), 0.5 Wood, 0.25 Derby, 0.25 Belmont

There is not ONE SINGLE HORSE on this list who ran a new top negative number and did not regress. Smarty Jones is unique in that he paired negatives, but two points off his top, clearly the most consistent and fastest 3 yo ever.

Barbaro reminds me most of Funny Cide.  FC was decently fast, jumped to a negative number in Preakness with a new 3 pt. top, then backed up to near original top in Belmont.  Barbaro just has too big of a top into neg territory. This is what I most expect.

Bro Derek reminds me most of Empire Maker... establishing a fast steady level.

Even Afleet Alex had bounces off neg numbers of 12, 4.5, and 2.5 pts.  SNS could establish a similar pattern if he bounces back to his -1 in the Preakness.