ROTW

Started by spa, November 12, 2005, 03:29:05 AM

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spa

My Typhoon 60% to run a #4...that\'s plenty good enough. Flip Isla and Envied for second with Elle Runaway fourth. A super race......

davidrex


Without looking at t.g. summary,


Have My Typhoon at 5 or better...jerry does pairs +/- 1.

Pulling out of 9 hole is going to cost her.
She may well be odds on.could achieve a 6 or better...hell she could do a 3 ,but by then its a matter of how much a horse wins by.

Flying Circle looks badly spotted by trainer.That 3 1/2 looks awfully tempting and at 15/1 he goes in my exotics.Also has outside in his disfavor.

Silver Cup is biancone/stephens combo that I didn\'t think to be together.Anyway hes\' 4/1 ...trainer much better 1st off lay...looking to drop off this one if morning line correct.

Be Envied Late starter...not really trainer change in true sense....12/1...good 1st dist. ..not showing well w/3yr olds..will definitely use in exotics!!

Isla Cozzene will be closing...has top jock...moved up 2 pts.last...canini better 2nd off the change than 3rd...3/1 line...toss his hind parts!!!

Mnila Fudge..more fresh meat...paired up 1st dist...not much turf in blooodlines...has had 2 months since 1st top(friedman angle) and could jump up big today...15/1 line...OH YEAH!!

What a great rotw..its\' got everything you like to see in a late 3 yr old encounter.....now to read what t.g. thinks...chancees are 50/50 I\'ll be back.

PARTYpokerON!

Elle Runaway..Long campaign...3 pt jump...not at any price...last # was going so wide,she might need 2 miles for her stamina to wear down opponents!




 

Michael D.

Be Envied looks interesting. A half to Burning Roma, by Lemon Drop Kid (two of my favorites from a few years back), she should handle 1/16m well. I like the trainer switch. The rail and Borel up - she should save ground. Won\'t get ML of 12-1, but odds will be decent. Key.

davidrex



Nice to have you back Michael!

Michael D.

hahah.... tough to solve things in the abstract. very easy to solve things at the windows..... not a strong play here, but i like the TG analysis.

davidrex



all chalk,what with two defections!!?