On the Clown's Invincibility and This Year's 3 year old crop

[jimbo66]

Clown,

Only you on this board could post that you like four different horses, one of which was the favorite, then declare yourself invincible when the chalk wins.  The non-horse racing portion of your life must be really wanting....

On this year\'s 3 year old crop,

What is the postscript of these two races?  After the Derby, we heard from JB and others about the drug issue.  Crazy beaten lengths figures in the Derby is not terribly uncommon.  But some of this sport\'s best trainers got beat again by 25 to 40 lengths in the Preakness.  What happened to real horse races, like when Free House and Captain Bodgett and Touch Gold fought Silver Charm gamely in the Triple Crown.  

It can\'t be \"drugs\" again the Preakness.  Tim Ritchey would be on a majority of the \"lists\" out there.

AA 3-5 on the early Belmont line.

Who will run against him?

I am sure Lukas was probably encouraged by Going Wild\'s performance, since he only lost by 42.  So, he\'ll probably take another shot.
Andromeda is scheduled and so is Buzzard\'s Bay.  

What else?  

Too bad we won\'t see an in form Bellamy Road against an in form Afleet Alex.  That would be a race worth watching.

[Chuckles_the_Clown2]

jimbo66 wrote:

> Clown,
>
> Only you on this board could post that you like four different
> horses, one of which was the favorite, then declare yourself
> invincible when the chalk wins.  

666, I\'ve been high on Alex since the Champagne and anyone reading this board would know it. I didn\'t jump off on either the Rebel or the bias and bounce impacted Derby, allocating 90% of my bets with him as winner. You can chose to believe I didnt\' like Alex or Scrappy. Anyone reading the posts will see otherwise. The only other horse I factored as a potential winner was  Closing Argument. It was a very good race and High Limit held on it would have been even better.

[jimbo66]

THis is what you posted on 5-21 to Spa:

Spa the closer it gets to race time the more inclined I am to believe you\'re right

Alex
Closing Argument

High Fly
Greeley\'s

High Limit
Scrappy T.

The Derby winner though biggish on win odds is gonna be wrapped up in a lot of exotics and the value in my opinion is beating him out of as much as you can.

Yes, you had Alex as one of your six.

i am not surprised that in this post you clearly state that betting against Giacomo was the was the way to go in the exotics.  Then today, after the race, you claim that you just missed the super, but were stubborn about not using Sun King.  So, I guess that means you did a 180 on strategy and used Gicaomo.

Clown the bigger problem is not even your red-boarding.  Who even cares what you bet or what I bet, after the race is over.  There was a Triple Crown race today, in which Afleet Alex ran a big race, avoiding near disaster.  Many top notch trainers ran up the track and there are many topics to discuss on this board.

And what is the first posting on this board after that race.

You declaring your invincibility...

Give it a break.

[Chuckles_the_Clown2]

Those horses were grouped in preference brackets. It wasn\'t six, it was two, two and two in preference order. I did modify that on late pace evaluation. I discounted High Limit.

The perfecta paid the equivalent of 75-1,  I had four horses in second though not equally weighted. In the end, discounting High Limit on pace and Closing Argument on win or bounce out.

The Trifecta was over 400-1. It really wasnt that hard. But maybe I really didn\'t hit it.

Still I got lucky. Alex could have died and taken his jockey with him.

I think its time to show you again 666 where you will never be. The Preakness stats are about as good and a little less in the Belmont, but its the Derby where the rubber meets the road. By Preakness and Belmont everyone is getting an idea.

Derby:

2005 Afleet Alex - 3rd
2004 Smarty Jones - 1st
2003 Funny Cide - 1st
2002 War Emblem - 1st
2001 Monarchos/Point Given perfecta box
2000 Anees - Also Ran
1999 Menifee - 2nd
1998 Indian Charlie 3rd
1997 Captain Bodgit 2nd
1996 Cavonnier 2nd
1995 Jumron 4th
1994 Southern Rhythm - Also Ran
1993 Sea Hero - 1st
1992 Lil E. Tee - 1st
1991 Strike the Gold - 1st
1990 Summer Squall - 2nd
1989 Easy Goer - 2nd
1988 49er - 2nd



Post Edited (05-22-05 00:57)

[jimbo66]

Clown,

I have trouble believing you have ever been wrong on a race.  

I am sure you have cashed every year in the Derby.

I just wish Jerry would rename this message board after you.

Maybe rename the product as well.  

It is all about you, after all, isn\'t it?