The Cox and Brown Phenomena, The Swale Stakes and Woody Stephens Advance Button

Started by T Severini, June 07, 2025, 01:52:44 PM

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T Severini

Can\'t get into anything until this one now.

Then you have the Cox and Brown phenomena. Folks gravitating towards their recent success. Could look a novice, but what is it about McPatrick that folks see a horse that should be favored?  Favored? Seriously? Prat stuck with him giving up Gunmetal. He\'s gonna have to improve. What if he can\'t go forward off this 2YO form? Looks like you\'d have to be betting a Jump Up here. We\'ll see tomorrow on TFigs redboard. Gunmetal looks to me a better play then McPatrick, coming out of that swale but what is a Gun Runner doing sprinting at this juncture? Gate to Wire looks a better play also.  

Dayum that Swale Stakes was a wing dinger. They went 21.4 and 43.4  Grayscale battling for the lead. You gotta go by the horses but that Swale stands out like a black thumb.  

I wanna see it painted, painted black
Black as night, black as coal
I wanna see the VET, blotted out from the sky
I wanna see it painted, painted, painted
Painted black, yeah

Quite a race.

Citizen Bull, CB, back for redemption and with his Silver Vet stablemate Madaket Road. I believe Gaming was there on Derby Day and he\'s been swapped out for CB.  They have to face the Music again. (Aren\'t you just absolutely hopeful the Silver Vet has to face the correcting Music one day?  Let it be so.) Which begs the question, can the vet pull the shenanigans out easier in New York and will he have the courage to try?

When Madaket Road has run uncoupled with Citizen Bull, the barn politics have directed Madaket\'s jockey to \"hold\" and attempt to take the race later.  CB has been a great beneficiary of politics.  So great he really should wear an orange saddlecloth.

Today they have to face an improving Mucho Macho Music Man again. I think he\'s a quicker stepper than the Silver Vet treated horses so one of them will have to push hard. What do you think?  Which Treated Horse gets the go go go assignment?  Key determination in regard to pace analysis, which can be challenging.

Gary Irish

According to the Equineline pace numbers, Citizen Bull was never that fast.

I\'m thinking Brad sends the 8 Gunmetal again, who got caught up in that Swale pace meltdown. Patch might benefit.

My dough is on the Madaket runner, who puts the hood on, but hopefully can rate, as he did when he broke his maiden. He\'s sprint bred under, so maybe that is what he wants. That is my hope.....

I love Bob Baffert......for the record.

Roman

Leaning towards Big Truzz , Macho Music and Patch Adams.
Big Truzz is interesting,  probably key him in a bunch of spots with the other two and maybe a couple more underneath.

T Severini

I think McPatrick has those two spa wins is the reason......patch taking money too....its agood race i\'m hoping it holds speed after drying some.


T Severini

good call...noted music failed to change leads...hadn\'t picked that up before