Keeneland Turf Pic 3

Started by Tavasco, April 16, 2022, 09:12:02 AM

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Tavasco

I have a crazy notion from hazy memories that the beginning of a meet and the end of a meet produce some big payoffs. Consequently, I will be playing against chalk @ WO & OP most of today. But first a horizontal stab.

Leg One Race #5
02 Freedom Way 6/1
12 Setna the Wise 15/1
04 Credit Event 7/2
06 Limited Liability 7/2

Leg Two Race #8
12 Elle Z 3/1
11 Goin\' Good 8/1
03 Campanelle 3/1
15 Phantom Vision 15/1

Leg Three Race #10
03 Shantisara 6/5

And to either compound a mistake or insurance an ebx in Race 10 of 4 Regal Glory / 5 Navratilova / 2 Waliyak.

Fairmount1

$116.40 payoff.

May I suggest narrowing in 2 legs instead of 1 when you like a HEAVY chalk in one of the legs?  It isn\'t about picking Regal Glory as much as when you have Limited Liability and Campanelle on the same ticket that you have to maximize profit.  Or if you don\'t narrow with a chalk in one of those other two legs, make sure no other serious chalk is on that other leg also.  Good Luck.

Derby season not quite upon us as the Derby nutjobs haven\'t shown up just yet!  

If Early Voting doesn\'t go, we once again have a derby with no closers as a serious shot to win???

Tavasco

Fairmount1 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> $116.40 payoff.
>
> May I suggest narrowing in 2 legs instead of 1
> when you like a HEAVY chalk in one of the legs?
> It isn\'t about picking Regal Glory as much as when
> you have Limited Liability and Campanelle on the
> same ticket that you have to maximize profit.  Or
> if you don\'t narrow with a chalk in one of those
> other two legs, make sure no other serious chalk
> is on that other leg also.  Good Luck.

Fairmount1 thanks for your thoughts. I will consider your tip at length. I didn\'t look past Shantisara when I saw Chad, Prat, and the timing into this race I went black and locked in on that horse. The wrong horse if I were to single that race.

A reason I don\'t often play horizontally is I have no stamina, and too much time required to do the handicapping.




On other fronts - Brad Cox is a dangerous man (team).

In the 1st Race in Japan, Last night 16 maidens vying for $89k @ 1+1/8 on dirt Godolphins Fiery Sky won @ 1/1. Had been knocking on the door. They seem to win everywhere the power of Yen!

Regarding Derby Loonies I\'ll start

My $\'s down on Crown Pride @ 20/1 or whatever pool 5 ended up at. I may get more than that at post time depending on media.

Looking forward to the Derby Day Props like say Japan vs NY. Dubai vs Wood winners. Whoa, relax NY it\'s late, Just turned 75, a bit moon bit and happy to be healthy & alive.

Happy Easter Sunday!