Brass Tacks

Started by T Severini, May 01, 2021, 04:12:52 AM

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T Severini

Ok, its no secret that beating Essential Quality is this years concept. Likely 90 percent here will make that Beat their wagering strategy.

Its not just the poor odds, now enhanced by Mattress Mac. Its not just the connections are not Bob Baffert. They will figure it out one day, but to this point they\'ve been searching. Maybe E.Q. is the cure, but at less than 2-1?  No, No, No...Not Today!

Do you like the way E.Q. is working at Churchill Downs? Check out this drill a couple weeks back. Have you noticed the way he casts the left fore? The play in the hoof/pastern. If you haven\'t noticed it, maybe its been an optical illusion to others!

Is the horse bearing out some late?...Certainly E.Q. is not an \"All down the line\" type of runner.  Doesnt\' mean he can\'t win, doesn\'t mean he isn\'t totally sound, but do you like the way he can\'t get past Spa City?  Now if you can\'t watch this video due to not being enrolled, not encouraging anyone to enroll. I just couldn find these workouts on the other sites.  I\'ll post E.Q.\'s last workout in a little bit.

Essential Quality vs Spa City

Furious Pete

You have the best horse by far figure wise, that does nothing but win, trained by the dirtiest trainer, owned by the hungriest connections, and you get twice the odds that you would in any other race. Still you all can\'t wait to bet against. This is why you all suck at betting the kentucky derby ;) I\'ll throw in Hot Rod Charlie as 2nd for an extra laugh.

T Severini

Furious Pete Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> You have the best horse by far figure wise, that
> does nothing but win, trained by the dirtiest
> trainer, owned by the hungriest connections, and
> you get twice the odds that you would in any other
> race. Still you all can\'t wait to bet against.
> This is why you all suck at betting the kentucky
> derby ;) I\'ll throw in Hot Rod Charlie as 2nd for
> an extra laugh.


I call that bold talk, for a one-eyed fat man!

Bold Talk

But he did back it up!

Furious Pete

ðŸ˜,

That\'s very good!

To be fair I have no interest in your mattress infused markets, EQ is trading at 5/2 or better at most serious bookmakers in Europe and that is more than enough to keep this simple.

T Severini

Touche...tactically placed wager. One can win with a Derby Favorite.

E.Q. is closing consistently and that usually plays well with the added eighth mile. Don\'t like his last two works in not passing Spa City, but that could also be tactical to not do too much. Spa City is a four year old, big, nicely bred and very  put together, stated to be a first class work horse. Not completely enamored with the Blue Grass, granting Highly Motivated almost stole it on a slowed down pace. Not overly enamored with the nothing slop win in the Southwest either. Not enamored with the head held to the right in the late stages of recent races and the bearing out in works and the Bluegrass. I think he\'s been all out in those close wins.

In Wagering for a Bad Beat, the Derby Pool is the place to swim!

Good Luck