Most important draw in recent memory

[ajkreider]

At a bit of a loss concerning how to work out this Derby.  

There\'s one horse that clearly fastest, but it might be going in the wrong direction.  It\'s not quite 0-2-X, but if it were an 0-1.5-?

Then there are 5 between 1.25 and 2.75. Those sheets look like they could move forward, but wouldn\'t be shocked for any to pair or go back. 8 more horses have a 3 in a route.

A ground-saving 2 could very well win this thing, which puts 14 horses in the mix with only modest improvement and a trip.  And there are four more with a 4, which is a number coming in that\'s crossed the line first before.  Oh, and a 5 going poly to dirt by a classic winning sire. Some of these are going to be very big prices to boot. Only a handful of throw outs from a super that could pay 6 figs?

A couple of these are also bounce candidates, but the draw and a closer look at horses that maybe like running wide is the only way I see leaving the window with the kids\' college fund intact.

(Feel free to delete if there\'s too much sheet info here)

[toppled]

The fastest horse only regressed by half a point, hardly the same as a 1.5 regression.

[ajkreider]

Ah yes, thanks for the correction.

[TGJB]

No. The most important draw was the Chris Lincoln caused do-over draw in 98. Which cost Victory Gallop (and me) the Derby. Real Quiet ended up moving 4 stalls in, we moved 4 stalls out. We lost by much less than the ground loss, got the best figure.

Not that I’m bitter...