Oaklawn Park Pick 5

[P-Dub]

Race 10:
#2 Ginobli makes his first start around 2 turns.  Ran a really fast number 2 back followed by a dud over this track. Can’t let the horse with best number beat me in leg 1. #4 Villainous has competitive numbers at a price. #7 Candy Tycoon faces softer and another with competitive numbers. #10 Prodigious Bay jumped forward first route. #11 Rushie with 2 solid routes this year. Contentious race.

2-4-7-10-11

Race 11: #1 Charlatan could be singled, but I singled Venetian Harbor and it cost me the Pick 4.  Will also use #4 Gouverneur Morris, who jumped forward off the paired 2 YO top. If Charlatan doesn’t break well, who knows.

1-4

Race 12:
#2 Trophy Chaser should sit a good trip from an inside draw, paired tops this year which are very competitive. #4 Mr Freeze reacts off big efforts, but can still win off a bounce sitting right off the pace. #6 Warrior’s Charge has speed, several wins over the track, solid connections, and ran a top last out. #9 Tacitus has solid numbers and a  must use. #12 By My Standards, toss the Ky Derby in the slop and he’s won his last 4. Solid pattern, a little slower than the other contenders but I think he can move forward which puts him right in this.

2-4-6-9-12

Race 13:
#3 Storm The Court paired his top, fits on numbers. #4 King Guillermo ran a big race at TB on the main after a couple on turf. Fastest number can’t toss. #5 Nadal another in the number range behind KG, as well as #11 Well’s Bayou. #10 Farmington Road is a bit slower but I love his pattern and a forward move puts him squarely in this. The track is playing towards speed, he\'ll need a pace meltdown which is possible.

3-4-5-10-11

Race 14:
#5 Carlos Sixes has solid numbers, gets the distance, and I don’t like much else here. Single


.50 P5: 2,4,7,10,11/1,4/2,4,6,9,12/3,4,5,10,11/5 = $125

Economy Ticket .50 P5
4,7,11/1/2,4,6,9,12/4,5,10/5 = $22.50

[billk5300s]

I tossed the 12, By My Standards but had the 5 and 9 in the last race.  Baffert kills everything with those highly bet runners.  Nadal looked average in that field and wins like a champ.

[hellersorr]

I don\'t understand how anyone could have seen Nadal\'s previous race and then say he looked \"average\" in today\'s field.

He \"wins like a champ\" today because he won like a champ in that previous race.

(Note:  I\'m not saying you had to prefer him today at 4-5 to KG\'s 9-2.)

(Though . . . geezus ... considering Baffert\'s record at Oaklawn . . .)

[johnnym]

Nadal looks much more the Derby horse than Charlatan..
Very cool how Oaklawn ended the meet with that song can never remember the name of it..

[billk5300s]

How?

All of these horses had comparable numbers:

King Guillermo, Storm the Court, Farmington Road, Well Bayou, Taishan, and Silver Prospector.  

There is no way that horse should have been less than even money.  IMHO