Alabama

Started by johnnym, August 16, 2019, 12:24:59 PM

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johnnym

This weeks NYRA Bankroll.

1) Dunbar Road with four 5\'s on the sheets does she move forward today that\'s the question? TG says a 30% chance of this personally prefer Grass Chad over dirt Chad others with faster #s with better prices

2) Lady Apple nice steady pattern given a bit of a break then runs a new top and a 46% chance to run a new top again and Curlins get better with age
 Front end running style for a race without much pace. Like the price

3) Too Slow

4) Champagne Anyone Fastest # is a tick slower than others did have a sharp workout. Ian has been running new tops at 32% lately. Does Mary Lou grace him with
Good Karma if you believe in that.

5) Street Band Cost all of 5K and Jones works great with fillies. Like the Pattern
coming in with a 3.2 last out. Jones Does not have a history of running new tops at the Spa and usually pairs after a new top. Filly has not taken a step backwards yet 10-1 like the price

6) Ulele Looks to be the pace Don\'t like the bounce backward last out and she has a bit of a history giving the lead up late and is stretching out.

7) Point Of Honor another Curlin, the fastest horse with a 1.2 lost last out to the freak filly but was closing.  The regression last out has me concerned.
Will be coming late with hopefully a little bit of a pace?

8) Number wise falls with Champagne looks to be a bit slower. Finished 3 last out do like the pattern a bit may get a piece underneath

9) Kelsseys Cross 15% turf to Dirt slow and a big class jump

My 2 Cents
5 to win protect in ex with the 2-7/5
Opinions?

BitPlayer

I bet Point of Honor last time against Guarana, but I have concerns this time.  She\'s running back on only four weeks rest after usually getting seven weeks, and her only work since the CCA Oaks was glacial, even for the training track.  I wonder whether she has recovered from the big effort in the Black-Eyed Susan.

I am not a big fan of Dunbar Road either, but the slow pace of the Mother Goose makes it hard to put a lot of faith in the figures for that race (from any figure maker).  She did rate behind horses exceptionally well in that race, an ability that should help her get 10 furlongs.

johnnym

Looks like we may have weather today

johnnym


jbelfior

I want to see the place photo.

Good Luck,
Joe B