LA. Derby

[Gerard]

An earlier post questioned the maturation process some horses may go through in the six weeks. I looked at the KD runners that ran in the LA derby since 2010 when it went to 9 panels. Without all the data, seems a higher percentage pair or move forward off this race than the other preps. Whether GR can make the improvement he would need, not willing to find out at less than 10-1.

2010
Mission Impazzible- KD 4th Start - Pair TAP
Discreetly Mine   - KD 4th Start - X    TAP

2011
NEHRO-              KD 5th Start - RAN IN ARK DERBY - 3pt top from LA.
MMM-                KD 4th Start - 1 pt improvement from LA derby
Pants on fire -     KD 5th Start - 2 pt off LA derby

2012
Rousing Sermon -    KD 4th Start - 3 pts. off

2013
Golden Soul-        KD 4th Start - 4 pt top
Revolutionary-      KD 3rd Start - pair             TAP
MY Lute-            KD 3rd Start - 2 pt top !
Palace Malice-      KD 5th Start - 2 pt improvement from LA derby- ran in LEX.TAP

2014
Commanding Curve-   KD 3rd Start - 2Pt top
Intense Holiday-    KD 4th Start - Pair             TAP
Vicar\'s In Trouble- KD 4th Start -  x

2015
Keen Ice-           KD 4th Start - 2 pt. top
Mr. Z-              KD 5th Start - x\'ed in LA derby, ran in ark derby, paired ark#
War Story-          KD 4th Start - 4 pt off

[jbelfior]

Good stuff Gerard. What may be just as interesting is how many ran a new top off of 2 prep races rather than 3 or more regardless of where.


Good Luck,
Joe B.

[TempletonPeck]

The archives are your friend on that one, lots of discussion/stats in previous year Derby seminars.

[jbelfior]

Yes they are. My friend \"Archives\" is telling me things that are making me reconsider who my Exaggerator hedge will be.

Good Luck,
Joe B.

[Gerard]

I don\'t have new top data, but I have a spreadsheet of 2009-2016 runners with order of finish and number of preps within 90 days tied to tg\'s. If someone can tell me how to attach, I\'ll be glad to post.

[Gerard]

Oops. Meant 09-15.