Early Bird is the Word

Started by richiebee, October 26, 2015, 04:44:18 AM

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richiebee

I guess there is no damage done in making a few Friday selections, even though:

I do not know final composition of fields and post positions;

I have not looked at any estimates of ML odds;

I am not certain about riding assignments;

We do not yet have the final word from TGJB.

I will accept Frank D\'s forecast for Friday of Fast/Good to Firm.

Juvie Turf: Cymric, Hit A Bomb, Camelot Kitten, Airoforce, Shogun.

LV Dirt Mile: Liam\'s Map

Juvie Filly Turf: Mirage, Illuminate, Catch A Glimpse, Harmonize,
Alice Springs, Sapphire Kitten

Distaff: Untapable, Got Lucky.

Looks like 5x1x6x2 $1 = $60.

Kind of contrarian to use 2 TAP runners given his poor overall BC record, but
I would be curious if someone could produce TAP\'s record in graded stakes at
Kee.

Intrigued by the Juvie filly Illuminate for Richard Hannon; she is separated
by 1/2 length from being undefeated in 3 Group races, but all four of her
lifetime starts have been at sprint distances on straight courses.

The true bomb in the sequence is Mirage in the Juvie Filly, who is not
competitive on the TGs and is NW2LT; will take another look at her troubled
run in the ungraded SA stake.

kurukshetra

it is trainer discourse, nevertheless, regarding Illuminate, Hannon expressed the following concern in today\'s Racing Post:

\"Illuminate looks like being one of the highest-rated in the race. I\'m not confident she\'ll stay but she isn\'t silly, she doesn\'t tear off and she doesn\'t pull. She has the speed to hold her position and it should be easier going around two bends.\"

Illuminate is the antepost favourite and this is one turf race where the American tainers do well...and if Liam\'s Map does what is expected good race to search for a bomb in the p4 sequence. One to consider perhaps the Chad Brown  former Wachman Last Waltz  coming over from Europe (20-1 antepost). Last out finished 1/2 length behind O\'Briens Coolmore who is a potential 1000 Guineas contender, that would translate to a good number, if we had accurate figures on these races.