5-star, lead pipe lock,cinch of the century today at PRX

Started by dodie, December 30, 2014, 04:57:05 AM

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dodie

In an effort to be a contributor to the board and not just a complainer, I invite your attention to race 5 at PRX today, a MSW sprint for 2yo fillies and the 5/2 ML fave, 2nd time starter Lady Forest.  I think she\'s a great horse to try to beat.  Biggest knock is she was a vet scratch 16 Dec.  Second, she is only the third fastest horse in the race.  In fact, she is only 1/4 point faster than the other second time starter in the race, Cashie\'s Way, who is 6/1 on the ML.  LF showed speed in her first out, but now Demasi puts Blinkers on, an 11% move according to BRIS for an overall 13% trainer.  Why the Blinks now?
  It\'s a great betting race because every other horse in the field also has a chance to win.  I\'m going to begin narrowing down the field by tossing Whywhatabrat for a 5% trainer.  I\'m going to focus win bets on two horses:  Total Rout at 10/1 ML (primary pick) and Cashie\'s Way at 6/1 ML.  TR\'s sire Military has a better TGI with sprinters, so the turn back won\'t hurt.  Reid\'s 19% and positive ROI on the turnback also add to the appeal.  Lastly, If TR shows up in front bandages, note Reid is 36% with 42 starters and a positive ROI with this move.  Last, but most important, she has 2 months since her top with an interim forward move.

dodie