latest preakness odds

Started by justwin, May 13, 2013, 07:54:30 PM

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justwin

Odds to win 2013 Preakness:
Orb 6/5
Departing 7/2
Itsmyluckyday 5/1
Goldencents 7/1
Mylute 12/1
Will Take Charge 12/1
Governor Charlie 18/1
Oxbow 20/1
Titletown Five 30/1

Preakness matchups:
Departing (+200) vs. Orb (-240)
Governor Charlie (+110) vs. Mylute (-140)
Oxbow (+130) vs. Will Take Charge (-160)

Prop: Will Orb win the 2013 Triple Crown:
Yes +220
No -260

PapaChach

Would be a little interested in Mylute if raceday odds come in close to the above, given he looks better to me than IMLD, Goldencents, and Will Take Charge. The .75 last out at least puts him in Orb\'s neighborhood, 2nd best number in the Derby, he hasn\'t backed up yet this year, has some two year old foundation, hit his secondary top first out this year, back to his top second out, broke through to new top last out going a mile and a quarter. Someone more expert than I please talk me off the ledge here but isn\'t this a pretty healthy looking line? If Departing, IMLD and Goldencents suck up all that money (not sure I believe IMLD will off of the 15th by 22+ lengths in Derby) even exacta w/Orb might be halfway decent. Just a thought...

big18741

Mylute should be a shorter price than Departing.

Beat him in the La Derby.

His Ky Derby was probably better than Departing\'s race in Illinois all things considered.

Departing has two extra weeks rest but Mylute has only run three times this year.

I don\'t see anyone beating Orb but Mylute looks good to run underneath him with WTC a wildcard to be in the exacta/tri mix.There is enough pace to get an all closer tri again.

Regarding WTC-I think the other two Lukas horses will set him up here.
I give him credit for at least a pair up given the trouble in the Derby and he was in off seven weeks rest.Ran miserably in the slop at Oaklawn and didn\'t pick his feet up at Churchill as a two year old.I think it\'s safe to say he wasn\'t running over his best surface in the Derby so I think he can run a new top here.

vp612

THERE have been many times when horse a beats horse b and the next time they run I bet horse b because his pattern right after that race is better,happens all the time.

Dick Powell

Don\'t you think the fact that Departing ran the Louisiana Derby without lasix is significant?

big18741

Some questions with Mylute:

Amoss gets really good #\'s at Churchill.Will he fire the same at Pimlico?

Mylute ran a new top on a wet track.How much of the move up was surface related?

Mylute hangs going by his last three races.He doesn\'t finish thru the wire.Will that cost him a placing if he\'s lapped onto another horse in deep stretch?

I still want him over Departing at these prices but in the end my insticts say WTC runs better than both of them under the chalk.

big18741

Dick Powell Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Don\'t you think the fact that Departing ran the
> Louisiana Derby without lasix is significant?

That\'s a great question.
Another one I don\'t have the answer for.

Some horses like Orb don\'t move up first time lasix but jump up second time.
Others move up first time lasix and not again second time.
These are three year olds that might jump up anyway even without lasix being added.

sekrah

There\'s an offshore book offering +260 ($7.20) on Orb to win the Preakness but not win the Triple Crown.

Might be the best bet if you like Orb.  You might have to sweat for 3 weeks though.