So much for that...

Started by TGJB, May 03, 2013, 01:02:56 PM

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MO

Ok, thanks very much boss!

 I thought she was a rare betting opportunity (fastest horse in history).... at that price.(8-5). Even though I lost a large bet here, I was NOT surprised by the winner. Had I been paying closer attention to the tote, I could have easily saved my ass with a small win bet.

I look forward to the final figs for this race. She had to bounce 9-10 points. I\'m booking props now..................

MO

Handled yielding fine, always runs a neg fig, one horse to his outside at the break - perfect gate position - no neg fig runners here if I recall. Was not hard used in last. Jock lucks out retaining mount on HOY which helps the price a little. Even money is a square price on this one in this situation, but I love NI and the double is going to pay $40.00 or more. It\'s not every day you can come up with a cold punch double on the reigning HOY and the most likely winner of the KY Derby(IMO) at a likely 20-1 or possibly better payoff. Last time I passed an opp like this I lost.....with a lousy $50.00 investment - Skip Away - Blue Grass - Wood exacta parlay with Ark Derby winner - some thing like 13 grand...... oh forget it........

badride123

How can you equate how much she bounced accurately, or if she bounced at all?  I think its pretty evident she was best in there, how much the best we will never know.   She ran remarkably well in defeat.  

All that said, that is why we run the races.   No matter what any figure says they are never sure things.   Whether it be a T-graph, or any other number, its just a rough gauge based on another man\'s opinion (given figure maker).  The human/animal variables far supersede any math equation in relation to a horse race.    

You made a good bet if 3/2 was your cut line on that filly.   Tough trip, you\'ll have 900 races to bet tomorrow.  Good luck

P-Dub

The winner got knocked around at the start also. Far from a clean break.  If they both break cleanly, good chance the result is the same.
P-Dub

badride123

Winner did take some major contact, she ran super as well, PA bred to boot.  The parity in that race on paper (IMO) was outstanding.  That was truly a great betting race if you didn\'t subscribe to DOJ being automatic.   Great selection picking the winner in there.

ajkreider

Byk apparently agrees.  Talking to Pletcher this morning about Authenticity, he remarked that her performance validates the Florida Derby day figures some had questioned.  He certainly wasn\'t speaking of Beyers.