Who Will Run the Shortest Distance?

Started by albany, May 05, 2012, 06:17:21 AM

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albany

In a 20 horse field it is impossible to devine who will get an untroubled trip.
It is not difficult, however, to predict that a large percentage of the field will lose ground around the turns. The single most likely horse to save ground and run a shorter distance to the wire is easy to identify.

Take Charge Indy should get a rail since his rider wants the wood and the 2 inside horses will not show speed. Trinniberg will clear the field by at least 2-3 lengths unless Hansen cannot be rated. I believe Bodemeister will attempt to rate in the 2 or 3 path. He will have Hansen to his immediate outside unless Hansen is too headstrong. Gemologist and I\'ll Have Another figure to be on the outside in relatively close attendance. Union Rags will be forced to show more speed, but should not be in front of Take Charge Indy. The horses in the next flight should be Alpha, Went the Day Well and El Padrino.

As I see the race, Take Charge Indy will be on the rail and 4-6 lengths off the lead as they spin out of the first turn. If it works out this way, Take Charge Indy will have an obvious advantage over the wide runners and those who will have to weave through the field. Accordingly, Take Charge Indy will be on all my tickets along with Daddy Nose Best.  The latter has been training great and has the foundation and running style to be a major factor.