FG 28 Dec Race 8

[glacken1]

Handicapped for turf, used nothing but sheets and don\'t know ML.
In preference order.

Starry Eyed kate - 5/2 - not cranked for first off LO, but is the most likely winner, but the race will have value when she runs second..  
Secret Story - 7/2 - Love the race spacing, and is the potential value.  Louis, Louis, Louis, whither Risen Star?
Overrated - 3/1 - other potential value off the buried return race.
Clever 13 - 4/1 - other potential favorite.  Even the bounce to an 8 from the last race top of 6.5 may be good enough to win this, but Secret Story and Overrated do have the potential to progress at a price while she regresses as an underlay.
Jones Zing - 6/1 - that 7.5 last out is a 3 point move.  How I view it, bounce or progression, depends on the price, but I\'m leaning towards that being a payoff race and the relatively short rest is going to have her regressing.
Shanfeild - 9/1 - Probably too slow, but is a potential price horse underneath.
Vee - High weight; can\'t play \'em all.  This will be the horse that causes me to miss the tri.
Bernice Special - Should be a price because of the last race bolt.  Read Vee\'s blurb.

Bottom Line:  I\'m looking to play  Overrated at value first, then Secret Story, at value line to win.  They\'d be my keys in the horizontals.
Haven\'t looked at pace, but even if they go 51 and change to the half, it\'s going to NOT be the horse on the lead at the top of the lane, especially if they\'re running anywhere close to the rail.  Lean toward the stronger closer.

[glacken1]

Heartening to just read that the TG analysis also keys on Overrated, but at 10/1, not 3/1.  Guessing the ML is a bit higher than I anticipated?