DMR R7-Going back to the well

Started by drbillym, August 04, 2010, 06:05:48 AM

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drbillym

Picking J J Minister in a mcl32000 was one thing, but moving up to a stakes with only 2 weeks rest after an all out effort might be another.  But he did move from a first start TG of 25 to a 14, which is competetive in this field.  With his early speed, the outside post should be OK and possibly beneficial, tho I don\'t see J Garcia as the best gate rider. For those of you more familiar with patterns, bounces, etc., would like to hear your input, and wonder if being a 2 yr old makes him more likely to progress than bounce.  I have a bad habit of betting back horses I have won on previously, figuring \"he doesn\'t owe me anything!\"  But I\'ve noticed that professionals don\'t have this flaw.  After Michael D. gave us Richard\'s Kid at 25-1, he didn\'t arbitrarily bet on him just cuz he had a pile of dough.
Any input on this race wil be appreciated, as J J is 15-1 and who knows, maybe another big ticket!

marcus

I\'m thinking and hopefully along similar as many other TGr\'s that Joy Boy emerges as an interesting and most viable play in the 7th - I\'m just not enamored with the idea of getting a $ 10-12 dollar horse in a 2 yo race . The horse does lay over a bit and there are a couple potentially sneaky good trainer angles - but as I\'ve said previously , it is a 2 yo race where big jump ups and regressions are relatively common place imo . In a perfect world I guess , another week or two rest for the horse would have been preferable just to be  Conservative . I\'m not betting this one but plan to use Joy Boy today in the ( dmtc.com )DMR online contest and with some racing luck - get back in the standings and winning ways  . ..
marcus

siphonbobby

I\'m going with Bruno B.(unless there\'s speed bias again today) He broke from the rail in debut dropped back early made pretty decent middle move wide on a speed favoring track that earned him a competitive figure. Looking for some improvement 2nd out and his M.L is 15-1.