FRIDAY FGNO Late P4- Todd Man Out?

[richiebee]

The late P4 down at FG, featuring 3 stakes races for Fillies/Fillies-Mares and a
5-1/2 furlong MSW on the turf.

Two observations after reviewing all of the best data I can afford at the time:

Race 8 Bayou Hcp 1-1/8M (T)--

Favorite Tizqueena (9-5) looks like the class of the field off of her solid Graded
Stakes turf runs, but it appears that there are 4 or 5 other runners in here who
are arguably as fast. She gives weight to all and returns 30 days after a career
best effort in an off the turfer. Using to cover, hoping for others.

Race 9 Fair Grounds Oaks 1-1/16

Favorite Ailalea (3-1) has a pair of 2YO downstate NYRA races which make her
arguably fastest of these, but she\'s parked outside and has never raced at 2
turns. Comes out of a dull effort in the Forward Gal 60 days ago and has worked
unimpressively. Tossing the potent Todd/Castellano combo out of the sequence.
ABOUT TO DISCLOSE PROPRIETARY INFORMATION SPOILER ALERT: In the last 90 days,
only 15% of the 163 runners Todd saddled turned in an \"X\", effort, Ailalea was
one of them.

Bomb in the sequence-- Little Egypt in the finale. LE drops out of a quickly run
1m40y MSW where she was beat nearly 40 lengths after chasing early. Cuts back to
sprint, tries turf for a trainer whose turf #s are encouraging, Dynaformer on the
dam side. Her lone sprint # makes her competitive here. One of many in a wild
spread. Should be more than ML of 12/1 off 40 length defeat in last.