Happy and relieved - payouts?

[covelj70]

\"I thought I saw her lips move\" this is awesome.

please remind me about your point on race shapes again right before the Belmont as I had a bit of an issue with that one last year and I am still licking my wounds.

[Dudley]

HP Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Dudley, the \"paved highway\" you refer to must have
> been less than one lane wide if MTB was the only
> one who could really benefit from it.  I guess
> those horses MTB blew by that were fairly close to
> the \"highway\" you saw (and at least two of them
> would have been described as in the ONE path),
> they must have been on the \"shoulder\" of that very
> narrow paved road.  Plus he did have to come out a
> bit (briefly) to the two path at one point in the
> stretch and it didn\'t put any dent in his momentum
> whatsoever.  

HP- the shoulder more aptly describes it- and grant you that MTB\'s physical makeup attributed to his success. He picked the right time to jump up alright. And I believe Wolley when he discussed the change in tactics being key. Back to the earlier point- those other horses in the one path were not as near the rail as Calvin imo. And those that he passed down there were other \'easy tosses\' in my view. I was right about all those but one- a crucial one as it was. Your point about MTB\'s momentum is salient- that\'s why he was unaffected in his brief foray around one horse.  But look at how easily \"Hold Me Back\" passed horses on the backstretch when he went inside. I\'m still baffled as to why Desormeaux didn\'t keep him rolling. As I said, perhaps I\'m mistaken and my eyes deceive me, but the 2-3-4 Derby runners surely didn\'t all falter on their own. Did they? Hmmm... I guess we\'ll never know for sure.

[chrifron]

I will paraphrase Gary Stevens on the subject: It\'s 80-10-10....80% of the time, it\'s the horse...10% of the time a jockey can help the horse win, and 10% of the time, a jockey can cost the horse the race...

[Leamas57]

Nice. So which was it ?