Going to be a tough day for chalk on Friday I think

Started by covelj70, October 19, 2008, 07:42:56 AM

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covelj70

Other than Indian Blessing who looks really really tough to me in the sprint, I think it\'s pretty likely that there\'s not another favorite that wins a BC race on Friday.

In the Juv Fillies, Stardom Bound will be heavy chalk and there are a bunch that are as fast or faster than her including Sky Diva, Doremifasolatodo, and the Romans Horse.  

The Juv Fillies Turf looks like a total crapshoot to me so I don\'t really have a strong view there but I am going to go deep in there and hope for chaos.

In the F&M Turf, everyone is going to play Wait a While off of her 3 for 3 performace on the SA Turf but she is going to be up close to what I think is going to be a suicidal race shape (she looked somewhat rank in her breeze yesterday so I just don\'t see her relaxing too much early).  Forever Together and Marlukalana and Vacare all look like they could pop a big number and have the right kind of style to beat Wait a While here.  The Euros are very fast and I never toss them totally on the turf in the BC but they just look like they too will get get caught up in a crazy race shapes scenario upfront as well and won\'t hang on for the win.

In the Ladies Classic (can\'t believe I just typed those words), Zenayatta is no faster (and in some cases slower) than several of these.  Hysterical Lady has proven that she doesn\'t like the poly which is a shame because she would be live other wise but I give Ginger Punch, Music Note and Cocoa Beach as much of chance to win this as Zenyatta and at obviously much more attractive prices.  Cocoa Beach\'s breeze yesterday over the pro ride was really spectacular from what I could see on TVG.

Only real thought I have so far for Sat turday so far is that Mr Nightliner will be a bad fav trying to stretch out from 5 and 5.5 to 6.5f.  He doesn\'t want any part of that extra furlong and he will be way too short considering there are several others who look like they will be fine with the extra furlong and who are just a bit slower.

Looking for thoughts on where I am wrong.  Thanks all