"Most Likely Winner of the Derby" - R.I.P

Started by jimbo66, April 12, 2008, 08:11:20 PM

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jmetro

BitPlayer Wrote:
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>
> The Derby is nothing if not a \"trip\" race.  It\'s
> not by accident that four of the first five
> finishers last year were 1w on the first turn
> (Curlin being the sole exception) and three of
> them were also 1w on the second turn.  For my
> exotics, I\'ll look for horses who are in a
> competitive range figurewise and could pay well if
> they work out a favorable trip.  In that regard,
> all the 3w\'s and 4w\'s on Z Fortune\'s sheet are a
> bit of a concern.  Pyro, on the other hand, is an
> example of a horse that has been schooled this
> spring to run inside, negotiate traffic, and split
> horses when necessary.

Curlin drew the 2 post in last year\'s Derby yet Robby Albarado still managed to give him a wide trip, expect the same if retains the mount on Z Fortune.  Garrett Gomez would be better but he\'ll likely stick with Colonel John.  Hopefully Denis of Cork draws into the race, Albarado stays with that mount and Asmussen goes for Rafeal Bejarano on Z Fortune.