Beyer figures account for class?

Started by imallin, April 11, 2008, 08:05:07 AM

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imallin

In yesterday\'s 2nd race at Bay Meadows (April 10, 2008), DRF handicapper Chuck Dybdal said this in his 2nd race analysis:

SEXY SOLDIER ran four ticks faster than BERJANDO two races after Berjando\'s victory on March 13 but still got a lower beyer. That\'s probably because her win came at a bottom-level 8,000 maiden claimer, while Berjando ran for a 20,000 claiming tag.

Does anyone know if Beyer takes into consideration the actual class of the race? Dybdal seems to think he does.

Berjando ran 111.1 and got a 73 and Sexy Soldier ran a 110.2 and got a 70. These races were the 3rd and 5th races on the Mar 13 card at BM. Unless Beyer made a mistake and Sexy Soldier should have had an 80 and not a 70?

miff

Imallin,

Unless Beyer split the variant, i.e. track got faster later on, it\'s a mistake. While class is not intentionally factored into Beyer figs, the projection methodology and creative license occasionally taken by fig makers can cause some strange looking figs to us mere mortals.


Mike
miff

ajkreider

This issue has been a running debate over at Illman\'s DRF blog.  The very slow filly race on Florida Derby day is another such example.