belmont race 10 sunday

Started by shanahan, September 17, 2006, 07:50:16 AM

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shanahan

is about the toughest race I have handicapped...any thoughts?  turf sprint...

NoCarolinaTony

Shanahan

R10 is now off the turf, does that help you any?

NC Tony

marcus

 truely an interesting race - i\'m trying to make a case for the #6 horse , that pattern could produce a several point forward move and the #5 is 02X and ran well on dirt @ 2yo . nct\'s saying it\'s off , so punting on 3rd down might also be a play  ...
marcus

shanahan

5 is out, along with 1,2,3 - all scr.  I\'m looking hard at the 6, but actually might just play \"all\" since my pick 4 is only $2 going into the last leg...

interesting horse carrying low weight in the 9th - jara up.  Not quite as fast, but with weight concession, I\'m adding him in with the likely fav.

marcus

sounds like spreading out in that instance is a right  idea . was thinking last night P-4 w/ #\'s  4 / 2,5 /5 / 5,6 . your saying the 5 is out , i\'m going to check scratches now and chack out a late p-3 / p-4 /dd  . they seemed like they might be the best value play\'s at bel  today - though i also like the #5 for a win bet  in race -9- if he\'s still in ...  
marcus

shanahan

scratching my head on the 5 in the 9th race, marcus...in looking at what he has run 9F on turf in...he\'s not real fast, what am I missing?

marcus

It\'s not an \"A\" play and I am taking a shot , but  I\'m seeing a potentially explosive fille pattern - she\'s previously ran 2 big tops , 13 pts and 6 pts  and her X\'s and O\'s are improving , but the Big price really has to be there ...
marcus

shanahan

my hat is off to you...jeez louise!  25:1!

marcus

thanks shanahan + sorry for just previously giving you my run down on the 10th race - in the 9th i was expecting a big effort from that one too , but not quite like that and not at that price ...
marcus

shanahan

I am thinking of the great line in \"let it ride\"....you ratholed the 5!  just kidding...nice call...