Hemingway's Key?

[joshb82]

Ran a 5 as a 2yo in Mid-December.  Bounced back to 14, steadily returned to 6, coming in off 4 weeks rest.

Should get a favorable trip at the #3 post with Rose onboard.  Is it unrealistic to think this horse can run a new top to 2 or 3 and fill out the bottom of a superfecta or triple?  Those numbers would put him right with Like Now and Greeley\'s Galaxy who are getting alot of ink on here.

Jerry?  How long does it usually take a 3yo to set a new top after violently reacting to such a brilliant 2yo number like a 5?

In the Preakness Analysis, it has Like Now as a exotic contender but Hemingway\'s Key as \"wasn\'t running that fast\" and writting him off as a noncontender.  Hemingway\'s Key finished 7 1/2 lengths back of Like Now in the Lexington with a bump start, 3w-3w, and \"6-7w into lane\" and Rose didn\'t even push him the last 1/8th when it was clear he had no shot of hitting the board while the whip was out on Like Now who had a rail trip the whole way.


Zito\'s removing the blinkers on him (he ran his 5 as 2yo without blinkers).   Remember, this is the guy who dropped Birdstone on us.  I think people are overlooking this horse\'s chance to hit the board.

[Chuckles_the_Clown2]

joshb82 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Ran a 5 as a 2yo in Mid-December.  Bounced back to
> 14, steadily returned to 6, coming in off 4 weeks
> rest.
>
> Should get a favorable trip at the #3 post with
> Rose onboard.  Is it unrealistic to think this
> horse can run a new top to 2 or 3 and fill out the
> bottom of a superfecta or triple?  Those numbers
> would put him right with Like Now and Greeley\'s
> Galaxy who are getting alot of ink on here.
>
> Jerry?  How long does it usually take a 3yo to set
> a new top after violently reacting to such a
> brilliant 2yo number like a 5?
>
> In the Preakness Analysis, it has Like Now as a
> exotic contender but Hemingway\'s Key as \"wasn\'t
> running that fast\" and writting him off as a
> noncontender.  Hemingway\'s Key finished 7 1/2
> lengths back of Like Now in the Lexington with a
> bump start, 3w-3w, and \"6-7w into lane\" and Rose
> didn\'t even push him the last 1/8th when it was
> clear he had no shot of hitting the board while
> the whip was out on Like Now who had a rail trip
> the whole way.
>
>
> Zito\'s removing the blinkers on him (he ran his 5
> as 2yo without blinkers).   Remember, this is the
> guy who dropped Birdstone on us.  I think people
> are overlooking this horse\'s chance to hit the
> board.


Birdstone was a 2YO Foundation Grade I winner prior to his Belmont Stakes win.

Birdstone caught the absolutely wrong part of the track in his Lane\'s End Loss and his Derby loss was also on an off track. He won his first races during his 3YO campaign. I know this doesn\'t address the numbers he ran, but I can\'t see much to compare.

However, Hemingways Key is a Kinsman horse and I\'m quite sure Nicky is doing everything he can to stay in Kinsmans good graces regarding him retaining or losing Bellamy Road. I don\'t know why, but I have a gut feeling that Hemingway is going to run a top. Where that gets him is anyones guess because he has not been fast enough. Getting mauled in the Preakness wouldn\'t appear to be to Nicky\'s benefit right now, so my suspicion is he is not gonna get mauled. Its all speculation, but the horse makes me very uncomfortable but not from an objective basis.