Derby Post Mortem

[marcus]

Thats a good point miff , if the horse sneanzes we\'ll know about it + his streanth and stamina at the end could be in part attributed to his turf breeding .

3 races in 7 weeks shouldn\'t necesarily be a problem but that last one was a major effort and racing again on 2 weeks rest Barabaro might exhibit the type of problems which only manifest themselves during the running of a race - even if he checks out ok .

My weekend was an O for 10 , though I did managed to stumble into my only winner on sat in the 11th , it was to little too late .   I can\'t begin to guess who\'s in - who\'s out of the Preakness , but Barbaro\'s got to be the fastest going , if he\'s a good price , could be a play ...  

[miff]

Markus,


Barbaro will be odds on, maybe a stick. The balance of the Triple Crown is his to lose.Early reports say he came out great and could run tomorrow, but thats \"trainer speak\" which should be ignored.

Bernadini(big time wise guy horse in NY) and Bro Derek seem to be his main obstacles in the Preakness. History tells to be wary of runners coming off one explosive performance.He looked and ran like a champion on derby day but has more to prove.Mucho accolades for Barbaro coming from all top horesmen and we all saw it too.Comparisons to Secretariat ridiculous at this point.

Don\'t know that I want to pick a fight with Barbaro right now.He did all sorts of things,derby speed figs, last quarter, etc that have not been done for a very long time.Not a great betting opportunity.

Mike

[Uncle Buck]

miff Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Markus,
>
>
> Barbaro will be odds on, maybe a stick. The
> balance of the Triple Crown is his to lose.Early
> reports say he came out great and could run
> tomorrow, but thats \"trainer speak\" which should
> be ignored.
>
> Bernadini(big time wise guy horse in NY) and Bro
> Derek seem to be his main obstacles in the
> Preakness. History tells to be wary of runners
> coming off one explosive performance.He looked and
> ran like a champion on derby day but has more to
> prove.Mucho accolades for Barbaro coming from all
> top horesmen and we all saw it too.Comparisons to
> Secretariat ridiculous at this point.
>
> Don\'t know that I want to pick a fight with
> Barbaro right now.He did all sorts of things,derby
> speed figs, last quarter, etc that have not been
> done for a very long time.Not a great betting
> opportunity.
>
> Mike
>
>
>
> Edited 1 times. Last edit at 05/09/06 10:08AM by
> miff.



If I\'m not mistaken, Fu-Peg won the Derby under a hand ride, got a good fig and was also \"the next Secreteriat\". I beleive he went off at 3-5 at Pimlico for the 2000 Preakness and was beaten by the Stronach colt Red Bullet (I think that was his name).

The Preakness Pace looks fairly predictable. Bro Derek, SnS and Bernadini all right there setting modest fractions, Barabaro stalking again, then pouncing on the far turn. Hopefully the pace works more in favor of Derek and Saint this time and they show up for the challenge.

As for SnS - Is he a great horse like Point Given that didn\'t fire his shot Derby Day but will go on to dominate the Preakness and Belmont? I sure hope so because I plan on unloading on him again in two weeks. I still have faith he\'s way better than he was in Kentucky and also have faith he will get his customary trip at Pimlico.