Official Contest Entry

[dpatent1]

Well, for what it\'s worth here it is!

Overall, a very difficult card to handicap.  The stakes races in particular are very tricky.

Selections are by program number, no name.

Race 1 -- Pass
Race 2 -- $40 Win 11
$3 exactas 1,3,4,6,7,8,9,10 with 11
$3 exactas 11 with 1,3,4,6,7,8,9,10
Total bet: $88
Race 3 -- $50 Win 1
$1 tri keys
1with 2,3,4,5,6,8,9
2,3,4,5,6,8,9, with 1 with 2,3,4,5,6,8,9
2,3,4,5,6,8,9, with 2,3,4,5,6,8,9 with 1
Alternate bets -- if Personable Pete is scratched
$ 5 exactas
2 with 3,4,6,8,9
3,4,6,8,9 with 2
5 with 3,4,6,8,9
3,4,6,8,9 with 5
$15 exacta box 2-5
$26 win 2
$20 win 5

Race 4
$1 tri
6 with 1,2,3,4,7,8,10,11,12,13
3,4,7,8,12 with 6 with 1,2,3,4,7,8,120,11,12
3,4,7,8,12 with 1,2,3,4,7,8,10,11,12,13 with 6
Total Bet;$180

Race 5 -- Pass

Race 6 -- Pass

Race 7 -- $40 Win 2
$6 exactas
2 with 1,6,7,10
1,6,7,10 with 2
$15 exacta box 2-8
$ 1 tri
2,8 with 2,8 with all
2,8 with all with 2,8
1,3,6,7,9,10 with 2,8 with 2,7,8
Total bet :$176

Race 8 -- Pass

Race 9 $50 exacta box 2-4
$5 exactas 2 and 4 with 8
Total Bet ; $110

Race 10 -- $1 tris
6 with 2,4,5,8,9,11,12
2,4,5,8,9,11,12 with 6 with 2,4,5,8,9,11,12
2,4,5,8,9,11,12 with 2,4,5,8,9,11,12 with 6
$3 exactas 5,6,8,11 with 4
5,6,8,11 with 12
$10 exacta box 5-11
$10 exacta box 6-11
$10 exacta box 5-8
$10 exacta box 6-8
$20 exacta box 5-6

Total bet: $270

Race 11 -- Pass
Race 12 -- Pass

I think that\'s $1,000 in bets.

BTW, who\'s going to keep track of the bets and results?

If I have time I\'ll try to post some analysis behind these races and selections, particularly the Belmont, but I have to run to dinner.

See you soon, HP.

[Two Bucks]

I\'ve cut and pasted each person\'s wagers (and will do so up until post time) so I\'ll figure out each contestant\'s winnings and post the results sometime tomorrow after the races are over. If someone else wants to double check me then you are more than welcome. So far I have entries from:
David G Patent
Teekay
Tegger
Scott V (me)
Kevin S
I also have Treadhead\'s entry but unless he replaces his Race 8 pick 3s (no pick 3 is offered that race) I\'ll have to count those wagers as a \"scratch\".
If anyone else has selections posted please let me know what thread they\'re in. Thanks.

[Two Bucks]

I just found picks by:
Nunzio
Celebrus
buried in the long Belmont thread.

[charleym]

here...
race 1
$70 exactas dynamite miss over sunset express and polish silk
$40 exactas sunset express and polish silk over dynamite miss

$220 bet

race 7
$20 trifectas babae/tates creek/all
tates creek/babae/all
$5 tri\'s babae with 1,3,6,7,10,11 with tates creek
$5 tri\'s tates creek with 1,3,6,7,10,11 with babae

$420 bet

race 10
$30 exacta perfect drift over wiseman\'s ferry
$5 trifecta perfect drift with 5,9,10,11 with 3
$50 bet

race 11
$10 double saint verre to big burner

$10 bet

race 12
$70 exactas
big burner over asarula, omit the dividend, and dr rocket
$30 exactas asarula, omit the dividend and dr rocket over big burner

$300 bet

i think that adds up... its late and i just realized that litfin likes the 4th exacta too
i got to go to bed

[Mall]

My selections are in HP:Food For Thought. Thks for performing a thkless task.

[Oats]

Belmont Stakes:

$20 Superfecta:
Proud Citizen & Sunday Break
with
PC, SB, War Emblem & Perfect Drift
with
PC, SB, WE, PD
with
PC, SB, WE, PD, Wiseman\'s Ferry, Medaglia d\'Oro & Essence of Dubai

Math> 20 x 2 x 3 x 2 x 4 = $960

$20 win on Proud Citizen and Sunday Break

=$40

Total = $1000

Scratched money becomes win bet on Sunday Break 1st, Proud Citizen if SB scratches.
Thanks and good luck,

[fatma]

Race2--$5 ex. box--1,6,7,10---$20 win #10
Total$80
 Race4--$10 ex. box1,4,6,7
Total-$120
 Race 5--$20 ex. box 2,6,7---$80 win #7
Total-- $200
  race7--$10 ex box 4,6,7,8---$80 win # 4
Total $200
 Race 9---$300 win # 1
total $300
Race 10--$3 ex box 3,6,11,12---$3 ex box 5,6,11,12---$28 win # 12
total--$100

[superfreakicus]

first of all, hats off to scott v. --- you are the man!
where the hell did all these dudes pop up from?!

I\'m pretty much handicapping as I post, so hopefully this will all add up straight --- don\'t nitpick.

1ST

1 - SLEW - could be any kind, or could run like her stablemate did.
looks like a tough chalk w/mott + lasix.

5 - frankel - again, not much to read.
fast in here + frankel - tough.

10-DYNAMITE - I kind of like the line, and think she might pop a good one w/the lasix.
might use as pricey gimmick key, but she\'s probably a tick or so slow and trip won\'t be great.
I also hate keying a horse with 2 chalks.

3 - SUNSET - big ugly pop in last, but might get a piece even w/regression + nice price.
line is so ugly that I\'ll probably pass, though.

6 - GIMME - has a few competitive #\'s, but weighted w/ugly line.
take my chances against.

2 - REBELANO - has a decent # at weight, and big price, but would like more time.
pass.

4 - POLISH - another marginally competitve one who\'ll probably save more ground than most.
I really wonder if he can wire these at 7f, and I\'m a little leery playing off the top and 2 efforts.
take my chances against.

$20 tri 1,5/1,5/3,10 = 80
$10 ex 5/3,10 = 20
$20 win 10 = 20
$10 doubles 1,5,10/5 = 30
total = $150


I can see this is taking way too much time, so I guess I\'ll just mention a couple per race and fill in my bets afterwards.

2ND

again, a couple fast chalks from top barns
(Mott + Dutrow)
I\'ll probably find a way to use Official Flame (McLaughlin) @ 20-1 ml.
like the connections, and he could be a legit horse --- I think the price is great, and those chalks are fast, but no lock.
there\'s a few others in here running competitve #\'s, and this is a bit of a crapshoot.
I\'d like to give honorable mention to the Morales horse (private lap) as one that might pop at a price, although he might be a tick or 2 slow.
also, I\'m a little leery of Vow (David\'s pick?) because of the weight and post --- I\'ll take my chances against him.

$10 tri 5,6,7/5,6,7/4,5,6,7 = 120
$20 win 5 = 20
$5 pick 3 -- 5,6,7/1,6/3,6 = 60
total = 200

3RD

@ 10-1 I like Kimmels\'s Unbridling in here a lot.
if kimmel gets a race off the break like he had last year, he should be tough.
Personable Pete is much the fastest, and I\'d use even w/the expected bounce.
 Prime Customer also looks like a use based on some quick #\'s.
Tuff Fox might be a defensive use because I don\'t want to slit my throat playing against dutrow, and he\'s got a competitive figure, but I\'m not crazy about the price on that line.
I also think Blitz is too short, and I\'ll take my chances against him.

$50 win 6
$20 ex 1/6
$10 tri 1/9,10/6
$10 pick 3 -- 1,6/3,6/6 = 20
if pete scratches, $ to win 6.
total = $110

4TH

based on the #\'s, I\'d say maybe Quiet and Transcendental in here, although I don\'t like the short price on clement (quiet).
seems like there\'s a bit of speed, and I\'m thinking bailey rides the wave while cooking Imadeed, the other fast one.
maybe I\'ll use Ima defensively.
also, I might see if I can get Belle Artiste to come charging for third.

$20 ex box 3,6 = 40
$10 tri 3,6/3,6/10 = 20
$10 pick 3 -- 3,6/6/3,6 =40
total = 100

5TH

probably take my chances against Broadway at a short price.
Frankel looks tough, as always (except Breeders Cup), w/maybe a little gimmick flyer using Rhythm @ a price.
Jarf\'s fast on dirt -- is he staying on grass?

$10 pick 3 -- 6/3,6/1,2,8 = 60
$10 ex box 4,6 = 20
$10 ex 3/6
total = 90
if race comes off, all pick 3\'s to Jarf (3)
ex box $ , 3 to win

6TH

alright, finally a race I know I\'ll play.
Explicit looks backwards moving and is highweighted -- toss short price.
Smile my Lord will be my key --- hoping to pop a new top, and I get Capuano + Bailey at a big price.
I\'ll probably also use Entepreneur off the #\'s and rail trip.
now, sprinkle in a little Tagg.

$60 win 6
$5 pick 3 -- 3,6/1,2,8/2,3,8 = 90
$20 ex 3/6 = 20
$5 tri box 3,6,8 = 30
total = 200

7TH

Coney Kitty - clement w/nice line at a price.
hoping to pair last ---my key w/frankel.
Babae - maybe a use, but not as sold as other sheet players I\'ve seen comments from.
Frankel - looks tough again (Tates)
Penny Marie - maybe sprinkle in at big price.
Voodoo - w/weight + post, will take my chances against at v. short price.

$10 tri box 1,2,8 = 60
$10 ex box 1,8 = 20
total = 80


8TH

getting late -- better hurry.
Gygistar, Draw Play, and MAYBE(?) Warners look best off #\'s --- take my chances on a bounce from True Direction.

$10 ex box 2,3 = 20

9TH

throw a blanket over them.
pass.

10TH

War Emblem\'s out of exacta -- maybe tri.
no strong opinion on the rest, but may lean towards using Perfect Drift, so popular w/sheet players, along w/Lukas (hoping for minimal bounce).
I thought I saw Patent post that Md\'Oro is 34-1 in early wagering???
if he really goes off at 30-1, he\'s in there, too.

hmmmm....

$9 ex 6,9 = 18
$2 tri box (shutup, I ran out of $) 6,8,9 = 12

total = 30

11TH

Saint Verre + Absaroka look toughest, but are short.
lightly use in exotics would be Treasured Gift, City of Peace, Point of America.
forgot Dutrow -- if I bet this, he\'s in there.

12TH

thank christ.
bring home AMERICA\'S GUY to cap off the day!!

my last $20 win 5!!
total = 20


mucho thanks again to scott.

[JimP]

There are several others with separate strings (Subject: Contest Entry). Check for JimP, derby1592, and Michael D with entries.
There may be others that I missed.

[Rick]

$500 Exacta Box - War Emblem, Perfect Drift

[Anonymous User]

Superfreakadelic  2-1
HP                5-2
Nunzio            4-1
Is Mall in this thing?
Teekay            20-1
David B. Patient  65-1

Superdave...nice analysis on the first. I can\'t believe you missed the perfecta. I won...had a loser and got shut out by the lines...lol

[superfreakicus]

the exacta was the 2 chalks --- what the hell\'s the point of that?