No "Lone Star" in the ROTW

[derby1592]

Below is a sheets-based, computer-generated odds line for the ROTW. It lists each horse followed by its calculated \"break even\" odds.

According to the computer model, the race looks wide open with no standouts. If the morning line holds, the horses that appear to offer some value include Dusty Spike, Jeremiah Jack, and Cappuchino (and possibly Bay Monster). Windward Passage would be a defensive play only and Smoked Em and Tracemark look like strong plays against.

Good luck to all.

Chris

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Forty Nine Deeds, 15.7
Dusty Spike, 5.6
Peekskill, 19.9
Windward Passage, 5.6
Smoked Em, 17.5
Jeremiah Jack, 7.9
Cappuchino, 4.8
Holdthehelm, >100/1
Bay Monster, 11.3
Premeditation, >100/1
Screen Idol, 22.1
Padlock, >100/1
Tracemark, 18.5
Wiseman\'s Ferry, 19.1

[kev]

Tracemark has the slight edge.

[kev]

Ran 2nd. Shows the importance of saving ground in a race.