Notes From the Risen Star

[confused]

Epicenter, the winner was one of 3 with superior and almost equal speed coming into the race.  Also, the ONLY runner with a recent race.  He won, probably moving forward nicely from his previous race, but the conditioning issue may temper the relevance of this race for him.

Zandon ran, with a previous number almost equal to Epicenter.  But with a long layoff.  His next race will be defining.  He must move forward a lot to be considered a contender.

Smile Happy came in off somewhat slower numbers than these two and didn't seem to make a forward move.  That could be the result of his layoff, or he might just be slower.

Slow Down Andy came in at a number equal to the winner but ran a dud.  One more race like this and you can ignore him going forward.  

The rest of this field are just too slow to compete for the Derby, down the road.

[ajkreider]

It will get a decent number. The Mineshaft went in record time, but that horse runs 0s all day. Think it gets a similar fig as the earlier allowance race, that was won by a horse who looks like he moved forward off of his 2 year old top. Something in the 2.5/3 range makes Epi at least in the conversation.  

Jock was looking back in the stretch like there was more there if needed.

[johnnym]

Smile Happy came in with the fastest #by 2 pts if I'm reading the sheets correctly.

[TGJB]

You are. Eyeballing the day that race is gonna come up fast, unless the track changed a lot.

The Rachel (and that division in general) looked stronger going in, but that race completely collapsed. Can't believe that grass filly beat me.

[johnnym]

Cox turf to dirt is at 24%.
Not a bad % and no I didn't have her.

[confused]

Yeah, I could shoot myself over that one....Cox claims he races them on grass at the start if he doesn\'t think they are dirt sprinters.  What fooled me with that one was her multiple races on grass.  I misread it thinking that he believed that was where she belonged and had given up and opted for dirt in desperation.

Fool me once.