Kentucky Downs Possible Overlays

[Tavasco]

Race 01
#9 Ameerah B if this SoCal tourist, trained by Asmussen, can get back to her debut effort then I could consider her a low priced overlay. C/B she doesn\'t like Bejarano or distances longer than a sprint. @ m/l 5/1 I won\'t leave out of vertical choices. An optimist\'s special. Well-bred firsters #2 Georgia Clay & #11 Smashville from under the radar trainers look good in morning works?

Race 02
#9 Herecomesyourman looks the likeliest winner to me in a herd of deep closers. This grey gelding possesses some useful tactical speed and trainer Sharp is 21% first off a claim. The other mentionable is #7 Magnificent McCool. I\'m surprised the m/l odds are only 4/1 maybe someone knows this one is ready to run back to its 2018 fall form. Has the distinction of probably being the pacesetter along with #11 Whisky N Roses who shipped in to avoid Dorian and those who\'ve been beating up on him in SoFla. At 10/1 count me on.

Race 03
#4 Swanage the m/l favorite is seemingly the most accomplished of an unaccomplished group. Even with top connections, I see this teeny-bopper gal as a bet against even while shortening up and adding senor Ortiz. Alternatively, getting 7/2 on arguably the fastest runner who has to be caught and passed will attract many. I\'m not sure why Calumet and trainer Sisterson would bring Tyler Baze in from the West Coast (he is still there isn\'t he) to ride #6 Bee House (Richie?) in a MSW. But I like her practice and its 4,5,6 for moi.

More to come probably as post time looms.

[hellersorr]

Tavasco is handicapping like a TREMENDOUS machine.

[Tavasco]

Race #4
#11 Franknjymme sounds as if this guy was named for a couple maybe a couple of owners. Conceptually if a horse lost four(4) lengths by running wide then saving that lost ground would put it 4 lengths closer at the finish line. While my choice here has not run a good race on the turf the connections appear to be confident and that plus 10/1 interest me. Now all the pilot needs to do is save the 3 or 4 lengths and from post #11. The track layout is quirky so it could happen.


Well, Jockey Hernandez got him to 4th at the top of the stretch albeit about 40 yards wide in the middle of the widest track I\'ve ever seen. That was that no ground saved - look for this one next out. Meanwhile, I can\'t believe I didn\'t note Mr. Dumas.  Probably Freudian that story brings me down so.

[Tavasco]

I will close out my day @KD and head to BEL with  #7 Jazzy Times. He kind of a hit or miss. Could run a bad race a well as a good race but geez he\'s m/l 15/1 and now 27/1.