Digging like an Archaeologist on the Beach

[Tavasco]

Chas04 Wrote:
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> I understand. I’m just looking for a few who
> agree. Not everyone is going to see it that way.
> Best of luck to you as well.

In the beginning the concept of the fastest horse is the most likely to win the race was conceived.

When that didn\'t always happen, the bounce idea took hold.

It isn\'t a coincidence Omaha Beach is the pre-race favorite.

Simple race Omaha beach over the Bafferts - get paid.

Although I will certainly complicate it.

[atakante]

OB over Bafferts is a no brainer for exactas IMO but still need to pin down that elusive Instilled Regard type forgotten horse. So far I’m seeing so logical arguments being made for War of Will and Spinoff but who knows...maybe Gray Magician or Master Fencer will pull a Gronkowski on us â€" the equine athlete that has the distinct honor of making burn through a large part of my bankroll.  Formerly, that honor belonged to none other than Mr. OneHitWonder Always Dreaming.

[Furious Pete]

Of the illogical ones I keep coming back to Signalman, there\'s just something about that sheet that keeps me interested. Not sure what it is, I guess there is some similiarities to Instilled Regard last year, but that\'s not it I think. Would be fun if he gets in.

[Dana666]

Most of these three year olds never even make it to four. The triple crown races destroy them. I\'m fairly certain Smith chose what he believes is the best horse. And I also think he and Baffert had some kind of split,the result being a smiling Mike beating Baffert in virtually every big race this year. I don\'t think the derby will be any different. I have no dog in this fight though. I\'ll just get the sheets and form and handicap it Friday night like aways. I\'ll never understand all the hype around the derby for gamblers. We\'ve got so many things to bet on these days. And how many years now have we had favorites? Those days of the mystery longshot horses are long gone. Everyone has access to all this information. They even mention thorographs constantly on TVG! All the clockers sell their workouts and even the horse whisperer Kerry Thomas sells his analysis on Brisnet. He\'s never not selected the winner by the way. He\'s like 5 for 5. It\'slike a short novel. He spends weeks writing it. For fifty bucks he\'ll tell you what each horse is thinking. You\'re not likely finding anything that everyone else doesn\'t know. You\'re better off playing the golden pick six at golden gate tomorrow! I think it\'s all stakes races and probably big fields. Good luck whatever you do!

[Fairmount1]

Hate to quibble with your overwhelmingly positive take on the world\'s most famous race and the fastest two minutes in sports but....

The Golden Gate Rainbow 6 was hit today by someone for $383k.  Tomorrow is a mandatory payout but don\'t think it will be quite the exciting event you expect.  Guess I\'ll wait for next weekend for that silly race in Louisville with 20 horses, loads of differing opinions it seems if you have read the board, and possibility of a once in a lifetime score in the form of a pick 5 or superfecta.

[shanahan]

You are absolutely correct.  Best betting Derby in some time IMO.  Why no one is looking at Country House at 50:1 mystifies me.

Board has lighted up recently...please continue all.

[wrongly1]

Very tough Derby, hope that we get a dry fair track!

[Dana666]

they hit it?! i was doing a very non-racing thing like working all day yesterday.
well, i\'m right even though i\'m wrong. i\'m fairly certain no one on this board is going to cash 383k on derby day-yes, i\'m mr positive these days for sure. i\'ve gotten a little sour shall we say on this game we all love. oh well onward and upward, just ignore me

[Dana666]

You should never use terms like that; you almost sound like the talking hand puppets on TVG! The only way it\'s a life changing score or once in a lifetime score or whatever jargon you prefer is if you promise never again to set foot inside the gates of hell (I mean a racetrack), deposit your cell phone and computer into an electronic waste recycling dump, buy a share or two of Berkshire Hathaway stock and live on a desert island like Wilson from Castaway for the rest of your life. If you follow that criteria and, most importantly, lose contact with all deadbeat family moochers, then maybe. Just maybe.

[johnnym]

Just one big ray of 🌞

[atakante]

Some good Derby/Oaks insights from Jon White here:
* https://racingdudes.com/blinkers-off-376-4th-annual-jon-white-kentucky-derby-interview/