Anyone discouraged?

Started by APny, July 24, 2018, 09:52:50 AM

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APny

Is anyone else frustrated by the random results we\'ve been seeing at Saratoga?  I know the meet is tough, but it\'s hard for me to fire with any confidence after a string of head-scratchers.

I still can\'t believe No Dozing won on Saturday. I don\'t care he was gelded.  The horse was by far slowest on sheets and off a long layoff.  The first few races were pretty random.

Bad Student, HayField and Cape Angel were all hard to have using TG Friday.

The winner of the stake yesterday was IMPOSSIBLE.  Even the last race, the firster running better than the 2 horses who figured...YIKES

FrankD.

If you’re discouraged and think this meet has been random after 4 days?
You should take your wife, girlfriend or both on vacation for the next 36.....
It will be less expensive.

The Spa meet is the ultimate marathon where ouchies with back numbers win, first time geldings (an extremely profitable angle) win off long layoffs, fast first time starters are held out to run here and everyone wants to win here......

There have been 9 2yr old races TAP & Asmussen have won 6, the other 3 went to Casse & Chad. Hardly random.

Chad has 5 wins on the grass out of 14 run I believe, no other trainer has more than 1. Surprise

The top NY jocks with the exception of Geroux, Bravo & Santana have won just about every race. Shocking

Chad is 4/9 in MDNCL a couple of them he had 2 runners. He was 17/36 over the previous 3 meets......

Bad Student I will give you as impossible!
Hayfield was one of four in the 1X field that had beaten winners, 2 of the other 3 filled out the super.
Cape Angel won for Sharp who was 12/36 off 180 plus day breaks in a field of cripples.

It’s a long meet!!!
TG is far and away the most powerful tool but for this meet you need a bit more help. Trainers are creatures of habit and history repeats itself at the Spaaaaaa

Good luck,

FD

bluechip21

Discouraged? I wouldn’t say that just yet. It was a tough weekend sure, but things will shake.

As far as yesterday goes. Having spent most of the day in the red board room, I’d have to agree with you. Hard for me to come up with much yesterday (I didn’t play nor did I watch). One thing that stands out as I review the charts is that it seems that while running for home, the outside is where you want to be on a sloppy track. It will be interesting to see how it plays tomorrow.

FrankD.

Torrential Rains Wednesday & Thursday 3-5 inches possibly more....
Now that can get RANDOM â˜"️

Topcat

FrankD. Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> If you’re discouraged and think this meet has
> been random after 4 days?
> You should take your wife, girlfriend or both on
> vacation for the next 36.....
> It will be less expensive.
>
> The Spa meet is the ultimate marathon where
> ouchies with back numbers win, first time geldings
> (an extremely profitable angle) win off long
> layoffs, fast first time starters are held out to
> run here and everyone wants to win here......
>
> There have been 9 2yr old races TAP & Asmussen
> have won 6, the other 3 went to Casse & Chad.
> Hardly random.
>
> Chad has 5 wins on the grass out of 14 run I
> believe, no other trainer has more than 1.
> Surprise
>
> The top NY jocks with the exception of Geroux,
> Bravo & Santana have won just about every race.
> Shocking
>
> Chad is 4/9 in MDNCL a couple of them he had 2
> runners. He was 17/36 over the previous 3
> meets......
>
> Bad Student I will give you as impossible!
> Hayfield was one of four in the 1X field that had
> beaten winners, 2 of the other 3 filled out the
> super.
> Cape Angel won for Sharp who was 12/36 off 180
> plus day breaks in a field of cripples.
>
> It’s a long meet!!!
> TG is far and away the most powerful tool but for
> this meet you need a bit more help. Trainers are
> creatures of habit and history repeats itself at
> the Spaaaaaa
>
> Good luck,
>
> FD


You hope we\'ve seen the worst of the near-term rain, after Thursday.

The backyard regulars have heard my approach-to-meet rant.  I\'m in no hurry.  I\'ve watched virtually of the races, but don\'t expect to set foot on the grounds prior to late Whitney week, and don\'t expect to start to hunker down until the following week.  I\'ve made a few plays, but haven\'t taken a meaningful swing, yet.  

I made some hits LY, but lost virtually every meaningful photo on long-odds types through the heart of the meet.   Don\'t expect that to happen, again.

It\'s amazing what kind of solid prices you can get on horses managed by sharp guys here, if you\'re patient and insist on value.

Looking forward.

milwmike

As Frank said, you need a bit more help at this meet.  Maggie has given out a couple of nice prices (last on Sunday for one).  Winning a couple of photos helps as well - Ultra Brat wining the Diana as one example.  JB said at the seminar on Sunday that one length spread over a few races on Saturday would have made a big difference in his day.

Keep the faith.

Dick Powell

Still on the turf. Most of the rain missed here. It looks like there will be more coming up from the south later today but the main track and two turf courses are Good.
Dick

JR

Playing the Spa is the fastest way to burn through a bankroll. The results are either of little value or just make no sense.
JR

NoCarolinaTony

Maggie don’t give out crap if you really listen to her she’ll talk you off horses as often as she talks you on, and she also talks only about a certain few trainers. Her voice is another issue for me anyway, I prefer to listen to my own thoughts in my head or what I see for myself. I know many of you love her. I don’t get it ....