Pletcher on Turf

Started by Silver Charm, October 30, 2016, 08:53:35 AM

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Tavasco

Thanks for adding in.

While both Bafferts offer attractive odds it may not be apparent to all which is the lesser.  The severe underachiever or the lightly raced colt.

Both A list owners who IMO would love a winner to start the weekend? There are some fast sprinters in the race that will take some beating.

I guess I\'ll sleep on it.

P-Dub

#4 Forest Blue looks pretty good, but can\'t take too short a price on a horse that just doesn\'t seem to win.

Solid number power, toss the last down the hill. Lots of 2nd/3rd finishes, and he will probably get bet.

#5 Blameitonthelaw has a nice pattern and the last one very competitive, pairing his fast debut number.  There should be a decent pace in here, this one can stalk and take over down the stretch. 5/1 ML and I think he may go longer than that.

Win bet on #5 (If he isn\'t overbet). #4 will be keyed underneath.

As for constructing exotics, several of these run similar numbers. Will look for those with a running style that isn\'t early. The #3 and the #10 will be played underneath. #10 Tough It Out is a 3YO with a nice pattern, I\'ll forgive the last route where he started poorly. Lots of routes and he\'s cutting back to 7F. If the #4 and #5 are overbet I can see a win bet on this one. There\'s a few more that can be added but these 2 are nice prices, have decent numbers, and a good running style for the race shape.
P-Dub

toppled

I like #9 Westbrook a lot in here.  Moving back into a sprint off a 3.5 month layoff, blinkers on, switch from Pereira to Prat. The last time he ran fresh was as a FTS and he beat 2 subsequent stakes winners including Travers hero Arrogate. He\'s not the fastest going in, but should run a 3-4 point new top that gets the job done.  
Boxing in exactas with 4,5 & 8 and keying over them in tris.