Offshore Odds

[sekrah]

1 Trojan Nation 60-1
2 Suddenbreakingnews 16-1
3 Creator 14-1
4 Mo Tom 23-1
5 Gun Runner 12-1
6 My Man Sam 16-1
7 Oscar Nominated 65-1
8 Lani 22-1
9 Destin 14-1
10 Whitmore 16-1
11 Exaggerator 8-1
12 Tom\'s Ready 30-1
13 Nyquist 7/2
14 Mohayman 10-1
15 Outwork 18-1
16 Shagaf 25-1
17 Mor Spirit 14-1
18 Majesto 48-1
19 Brody\'s Cause 14-1
20 Danzing Candy 25-1  !!!!

[TempletonPeck]

Wynn and Westgate (aka the Hilton) odds, for comparison:
Wynn
 1 Trojan Nation 50-1
 2 Suddenbreakingnews 15-1
 3 Creator 12-1
 4 Mo Tom 18-1
 5 Gun Runner 10-1
 6 My Man Sam 18-1
 7 Oscar Nominated 75-1
 8 Lani 30-1
 9 Destin 15-1
 10 Whitmore 25-1
 11 Exaggerator 6-1
 12 Tom\'s Ready 50-1
 13 Nyquist 7/2
 14 Mohayman 8-1
 15 Outwork 14-1
 16 Shagaf 25-1
 17 Mor Spirit 11-1
 18 Majesto 25-1 (LOL!)
 19 Brody\'s Cause 10-1
 20 Danzing Candy 28-1

(they also list cherry wine, 60/1, and Laoban, 45/1)

Hilton
 1 Trojan Nation 60-1
 2 Suddenbreakingnews 15-1
 3 Creator 15-1
 4 Mo Tom 20-1
 5 Gun Runner 12-1
 6 My Man Sam 25-1
 7 Oscar Nominated 80-1
 8 Lani 50-1
 9 Destin 12-1
 10 Whitmore 25-1
 11 Exaggerator 6-1
 12 Tom\'s Ready 60-1
 13 Nyquist 7/2
 14 Mohayman 7-1
 15 Outwork 20-1
 16 Shagaf 40-1
 17 Mor Spirit 10-1
 18 Majesto 40-1
 19 Brody\'s Cause 12-1
 20 Danzing Candy 25-1

[analizethis]

Interesting lines.

Only two runners at less than double digit odds. Since 2001 we have never had a KD with less than 3.

In 2010 when there were 3 less than 10 - 1 they consumed 28% of the pool. The above translates into 2 less than 10 - 1 with 28% of the pool also.

The race is also looking like 2010 a race where the winner had the 10th highest 3 year-old top of the field going in and the trip was the key as the trifecta were 1w/1w, 1w/1w and 1w/2w.

For my money the jockey most likely to get a ground saving trip who has proven he knows who to win the Derby and has enough horse to do is Kent Desormeaux (BTW also finished 3rd in 2010.

2010 Finish 3rd; post position 10; odds 12.3 -1, 6th betting choice; 1W/2W

PADDY O'PRADO, came in in the early stages forcing STATELY VICTOR into LOOKIN AT LUCKY, was reserved along the inside, followed the winner after a half, came out three wide entering the second turn to split rivals, made a good gain after seven furlongs, swerved out and then back in the near the quarter mile marker, split horses soon after, reached closest to the winner with a sixteenth to go but hung.