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Messages - bjt

1
Ask the Experts / Plate Trial
June 03, 2007, 09:35:50 AM
Cobrador is certainly fast enough to get a big piece today if he fires . The two M/L faves are legitimate in terms of their last numbers - and both looked visually impressive in their last races as well. Good Luck. bj
2
Canada started common-pool wagering with Santa Anita on Dec 28th .It was originally scheduled for the 26th but Santa Anita officials wanted to hold off , as they didn\'t want to take a chance of screwing up opening day . This may or may not be the cause - but for the lack of any other info just BLAME CANADA . bj
3
Ask the Experts / Re: Figure Study
July 18, 2006, 04:43:00 AM
I was just wondering if Beyer figures would be part of the study as well , obviously without any weight adjustments . bj
4
\"I have developed a kind of seat of the pants way of figuring out how fast the track is.\"
That\'s why I pay $25 a pop for the numbers . How can I get one of your damn hats?bj
5
Ask the Experts / Re: Soixante-Neuf
July 04, 2005, 04:03:07 PM
JB ,

If this is your brother-in-law , I think he wants to borrow some money .bj
6
Ask the Experts / Re: ROTW
June 26, 2005, 11:09:33 AM
After handicapping  the card again a couple of other horses at decent M/L odds caught my eye .

7th race - Imperial Alydeed has a real solid line this year - last year his line was a complete zig-zag . Apprentice rider up so gets 5 pounds - could be gone on the engine . Would save in exactors with KR and the 2 entry .

10th race - Autumn Snow gets Bejarano who is sticking around for the ride after the Plate . Powerful Tomlinson turf numbers and nice turf work last week. Nice dirt line this year and nice M/L price . Depending on odds and price on Stag Nation would bet either higher odds horse or both and exactor box.

11th race - Porto Seguro could be sitting on a good one after the last turf race where he had a very wide post and dueled most of the way. His 7F Keeneland number makes him relevant here.

GOOD LUCK to all.

bj
7
Ask the Experts / Re: ROTW
June 25, 2005, 12:05:26 PM
This race is restricted to CDN breds only - If memory serves Palladio is a KY bred. bj
8
Ask the Experts / Re: ROTW
June 25, 2005, 06:59:57 AM
A few thoughts on the Queens\'s Plate card:

4th race - At the weights ITW looks as fast as SF - but I really can\'t see opposing the favourite here . SF is 8 for 9 on the Woodbine turf - only losing to Touch of the Blues in the G1 Atto Mile in 2003 .

5th race - QK hardly looks like a prototypical winner of a NW1 race - but toss the lone turf try and the line looks very solid and fast vs the rest of the field .I write this before seeing the ML - but I wouldn\'t take less than 4-1.

6th race - BOF is the most successful marathon turf horse in the field - likes the course and had a decent 4yo seasonal bow . Should go gate to wire.

7th - A very competetive race . KR penultimate # may be somewhat buried to the public . A 5w effort at 7F May 23 makes him the fastest horse . I believe the horse is a more effective off the pace sprinter than a router . FR is an obvious danger - but will need a helluva a trip from the 14 hole.

9th race - I\'ve got to disagree with HP here - I think the filly is the play .
She is visually impressive and is obviously the fastest horse . her best will win - or even a small backward move still wins . Hopefully she goes off a little better than the ML . Three in the bag looks solid - but the jockey has never seen a 4path trip he didn\'t love - so groundloss is a concern .
Frankel has done nothing up here this year 1for17 - so I\'ll take a stand against WD.

10th race - SN 2yo turf number holds up here as good or better than the field save SS 2yo turf debut .
SS make his seasonal bow - so I believe SN holds the edge . Dirt numbers are ok so he should go well here .

bj

 

9
Ask the Experts / US wagering - re Canadians
May 21, 2005, 05:36:02 AM
Calling on any and all Canucks out there to put the CPMA\'s feet to the fire , re their blocking our access to US betting pools.
It seems their concern is the 4 second bet cancel delay feature that exists in California and New Jersey .
Matt Hegarty has an article in Sunday\'s Form , and Woodbine has posted an open letter to it\'s wagering customers on their website as well .
If taking down a large exotic payoff with ZERO withholding tax appeals to you , either sign the petition at Woodbine or e-mail - Thane Bell at tbell@agr.gc.ca and demand that the CPMA change it\'s paternalistic stance .We as bettors deserve the choice and opportunity of betting into the large US pools. bj

10
Ask the Experts / ROTW
February 12, 2005, 11:05:05 AM
Chris ,

Regardless of the outcome , nicely done. bj
11
Ask the Experts / Re: Golly Gee, Janis
December 19, 2004, 08:56:51 AM
JB ,

You should have stayed with your stated policy of no response .
As for your \"Canadian minion\" crack - at least Stronach did not close the racetracks he bought .
The \"American minion\" , Gary Bettman is destroying our national game at the professional level. In January he will declare in a solemn voice that the entire NHL season is cancelled . The man couldn\'t run a girl\'s field hockey league. bj

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