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Messages - elkurzhal

#1
Ask the Experts / Re: ROW Pick 4
January 18, 2016, 01:29:58 PM
Guess nobody played the Jan 9th ROTW where the suggested play was keying the favorite on top?
#2
Ask the Experts / Re: Computer-Robotic Wagering
November 18, 2015, 08:50:46 AM
jbelfior - That is a very interesting description of a race tracks best/most rewarded customer...
#3
going to be an interesting fight in court.

Unlawful Internet Gambling Enforcement Act of 2006. 31 USC 5301

''§ 5362. Definitions
''In this subchapter:
''(1) BET OR WAGER.—The term 'bet or wager'—
''(E) does not include—
''(ix) participation in any fantasy or simulation
sports game or educational game or contest in which
(if the game or contest involves a team or teams)
no fantasy or simulation sports team is based on the
current membership of an actual team that is a
member of an amateur or professional sports organization (as those terms are defined in section 3701 of
title 28) and that meets the following conditions:
''(I) All prizes and awards offered to winning
participants are established and made known to
the participants in advance of the game or contest
and their value is not determined by the number
of participants or the amount of any fees paid
by those participants.
''(II) All winning outcomes reflect the relative
knowledge and skill of the participants and are
determined predominantly by accumulated statistical results of the performance of individuals (athletes in the case of sports events) in multiple realworld sporting or other events.
''(III) No winning outcome is based—
''(aa) on the score, point-spread, or any
performance or performances of any single
real-world team or any combination of such
teams; or
''(bb) solely on any single performance of
an individual athlete in any single real-world
sporting or other event
#4
Nevada, where prostitution is legal, but fantasy sports is not...

Online poker is legal in Russia and Iran, not in the USA...

Wonder how Nevada is going to differentiate between say Fanduel and some guys ESPN fantasy league at the office.   If that guy collects an entry and pays out prizes, is running an illegal gambling game?
#5
Aceriley?

 \"with no transparancy therefore you don\'t know what you\'re up against regarding takeout\"

The entry fee, number of entrants and prize fund are listed in plain text right in front of you when you enter AND are do not change.  Anyone who can do math knows what the takeout is.


\"we all know what takeout is in racing\" really?   ever ask someone at the track?   Did you figure in breakage?  What if you get a rebate?   Racing\'s takeout is the one that lacks transparency, and it is a big part of why one industry is thriving and one is dying.
#6
\"I have wondered where a mile and a quarter race on the dirt starts out at the Keenland Racecourse. Anyone know.\"

diagrams and details here...
http://www.keeneland.com/sites/default/files/shared/451/Track%20and%20Course%20Records-S2015.pdf

Top of the front stretch.

2:05.36 track record seems likely to fall.
#7
Ask the Experts / Re: Wednesday 7th @ Belmont
July 08, 2015, 09:17:35 AM
The last race did get the !, which usually comes out for wide trips, but occasionally for a race that TG has a lot faster than it appears.
#8
Ask the Experts / Re: Illinois Racing
July 07, 2015, 03:59:35 AM
richiebee Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------

> I think the 17/1 was Go Blue or Go Home. The G3
> Shakertown at Keeneland has
> turned into quite the \"key race\". Channel Marker,
> Undrafted, Power Alert, Go
> Blue, Amelias Wild Ride have all won out of that
> race. Keep an eye peeled for
> Something Extra (Shakertown winner),Tightend
> Touchdown, Zee Bros, Berlino Di
> Tiger and Choctaw Chuck.

You can pick up Berlino Di Tiger in the 30k claiming races (@ 2 furlongs) at MNR...
#9
Ask the Experts / Re: Illinois Racing
July 06, 2015, 10:10:16 AM
I still think racing should have never gone after slots, let the casinos have them.  They should (have) gone after sports betting and kept is exclusive from the casinos. Horse racing is a sport... Tracks should be able to create para-mutual pools on any sporting event.   Look at the explosion of the DFS (daily fantasy sports) model, which probably already out handle racing on NFL Sundays...
#10
Ask the Experts / Re: Belmont patterns
June 03, 2015, 03:34:21 PM
Toppled - every other race, every other day, I get ya.

The real problem is -2 at 1 1/8 have nothing to do with Belmont and 1 1/2.

Last years exacta horses came in with tops of 2 & 5, beating Wicked Strong (-1), Chrome (-2), & Ride on Curlin (-1.5).   what\'s so different about this year?
#11
Ask the Experts / Belmont patterns
June 03, 2015, 12:27:02 PM
Unlike the derby 7 of the last 8 Belmont winners ran new tops (by an average of 2.5 pts)  Union Rags paired his 2 to win the slowest (TG) Belmont since 2007.

The winners averaged 4 pre-Belmont starts at 3, and the new tops averaged 2.5 pts.

5 of the 8 had run a new top in one of their prior two races, the second top in the Belmont being a lot faster then they started their 3yo year.

Who fits?  Keen Ice and Frammento do.   Their tops coming in are as good as DaTara, Drosselmeyer, Ruler on Ice, and Palace Malice...
#12
Ha ha, I fist read,
Re: NYRA Oversight,  Likely to Be Extended One Year

Figured they screwed up the takeout again and had some reasons it would take a year to fix it.
#13
Ask the Experts / Re: Sports Betting
June 24, 2014, 03:56:40 AM
Never understood why the tracks haven\'t pushed to be allowed to take parimutuel wagers on any sport.   $2 pick 18 on an NFL weekend.  $1 supers on the Daytona 500 etc...
#14
last in the gate is probably a very good thing for Wicked Strong, and you probably picked up 2-3 points on the price.
#15
yeah but, per Sherman CC was the only horse in the barn to be asleep, laying in his stall just after the earthquake on 3/31.  If that didn\'t bother him it\'s unlikely he moves up shipping east with \"ground tremors\" off.