For those who know -- is there any chance that CD officials will aerate, water, or otherwise address the \'concrete\' issue?
This section allows you to view all posts made by this member. Note that you can only see posts made in areas you currently have access to.
Pages1
#2
Ask the Experts / Re: Hey David Patent
May 22, 2003, 09:42:03 PM
Silver,
Yup, I was wrong on B.G. in the SA Derby. Luckily, I didn\'t bet the race since there was no value. I\'m still not sure what to make of that =1\" down the hill.
For the Derby I drew an \'X\' through it and ignored it. I made B.G. about 20:1 in my ML, which made him a \'light use in exotics\'.
Yup, I was wrong on B.G. in the SA Derby. Luckily, I didn\'t bet the race since there was no value. I\'m still not sure what to make of that =1\" down the hill.
For the Derby I drew an \'X\' through it and ignored it. I made B.G. about 20:1 in my ML, which made him a \'light use in exotics\'.
#3
Ask the Experts / Re: Hey David Patent
May 19, 2003, 10:04:44 PM
Mandown,
I am not a lawyer. I get paid to do many things but never to lie. Please stick to the facts from now on.
I am not a lawyer. I get paid to do many things but never to lie. Please stick to the facts from now on.
#4
Ask the Experts / Re: Derby wrap
May 04, 2003, 01:50:53 PM
Anybody who does not have the courage to use their own judgment when betting horses -- i.e. ignoring what Friedman and Brown think deserves whatever happens to them. I have taken Friedman to task on a number of occasions for the way he positions his picks and have never constructed a betting strategy based on his opinions -- at least not since the \'98 BC when I learned my lesson good.
When I did my morning line for this year\'s Derby, the horses lined up like this:
Funny Cide: 4:1
Empire Maker: 9:2
Atswhatimtalkin: 7:1
Peace Rules: 8:1
Ten Most Wanted: 9:1
Offlee Wild: 12:1
Supah Blitz: 13:1
Brancusi: 18:1
Buddy Gil: 21:1
Indian Express: 30:1
Everyone else -- no shot
Supah Blitz was an interesting horse to throw some money on, but he was only about 40:1, not the 80 or 100:1 that many figured he would go off at. At the prices the horses actually went off at, FC was the biggest overlay and deserved to be the key. In fact, the only horses overlaid were FC, Offlee, and Supah, but given Offlee\'s and Supah\'s relatively small shot of winning (7-8% on my ML), FC deserved the bulk of the money. Since I had FC in the future book, I backed off a bit and did not hammer him in the Derby itself.
If you want to pick a fight, have at it, but if you look at the sheets, FC was a very strong contender on Ragozin.
When I did my morning line for this year\'s Derby, the horses lined up like this:
Funny Cide: 4:1
Empire Maker: 9:2
Atswhatimtalkin: 7:1
Peace Rules: 8:1
Ten Most Wanted: 9:1
Offlee Wild: 12:1
Supah Blitz: 13:1
Brancusi: 18:1
Buddy Gil: 21:1
Indian Express: 30:1
Everyone else -- no shot
Supah Blitz was an interesting horse to throw some money on, but he was only about 40:1, not the 80 or 100:1 that many figured he would go off at. At the prices the horses actually went off at, FC was the biggest overlay and deserved to be the key. In fact, the only horses overlaid were FC, Offlee, and Supah, but given Offlee\'s and Supah\'s relatively small shot of winning (7-8% on my ML), FC deserved the bulk of the money. Since I had FC in the future book, I backed off a bit and did not hammer him in the Derby itself.
If you want to pick a fight, have at it, but if you look at the sheets, FC was a very strong contender on Ragozin.
#5
Ask the Experts / Derby wrap
May 03, 2003, 09:59:37 PM
This appears to be a Derby where the Rag. and TG sheets pointed to the same horses, at least based on the comments on both boards, particularly about Supah Blitz and Funny Cide.
I\'m one of the several thousand people (apparently) who had FC at 93:1 in the future book, largely b/c of his 2 y.o. number and immediate pairing of it as a 3 y.o.
I am also curious about the late money that steamed in for FC in the last couple of minutes. He was 15:1 with about 2 minutes to post. Given that there was $22+ million in the win pool, there had to be at least $200 to $300k that went in for him in the last couple of minutes. Maybe the fix was in.
I\'m one of the several thousand people (apparently) who had FC at 93:1 in the future book, largely b/c of his 2 y.o. number and immediate pairing of it as a 3 y.o.
I am also curious about the late money that steamed in for FC in the last couple of minutes. He was 15:1 with about 2 minutes to post. Given that there was $22+ million in the win pool, there had to be at least $200 to $300k that went in for him in the last couple of minutes. Maybe the fix was in.
Pages1
