So this type of cheating is worse than cheating by improperly using medications? Does not make much sense to me. She was trying to avoid faster competition, so she paid to have a peek at the entries, against the rules, yes, but a 3 year suspension which will have reciprocity in the whole country seems draconian to me.

Spieberg has only 1 fast race, his sloppy track race, a huge new top, completely out of whack with his prior races. That is what concerns me about Spielberg. This pattern looks ripe for a bounce.

I usually disregard very fast PRX numbers, unless the horse has run very fast other places too.
You are not alone.

KD isn\'t running friday, next date is saturday.

Cafe Pharoah is the 16 in the Unicorn, the 5 leads most of the way, but no one is close to the 16 approaching the wire, he was wide and moved up to be 2nd and took over in the stretch and just pulled away. 3 very impressive races.

I remember last year there was a period where Castellano was winning all the grass stakes races, it made it difficult to bet those races, because the public started making Castellano\'s horse the favorite even when not deserved.
So While I agree that you should always be careful with Irad,  you can get great value on faster horses, like yesterdays 7th race, Irad was on Chestertown, a nice  3 year old with only a maiden win to his credit, had run a top of 8 running up the track in a stake at fairgrounds, had a nice looking sheet, you even might say the horse showed he could even move forward off the 2 pt top, had some rest, etc. Only problem was that there were 3 horses in the race capable of running in the 3\'s (including the winner at $12.60 with Manny). Chestertown was 3-5/4-5 right up to post time and he went off at 6-5. To Irads credit he ran 2nd, but my point is only that as good as he is, even if he wins 34%,like the last 30 days, he doesn\'t win 66%, and you get better odds on the other contenders.

Vekoma is interesting to me, his two year old top was very fast, and he has only just gotten back to it 1st time 4 year old. To me that means that there is more room for improvement, after all if he could run that number as a 2 year old, just normal growth and development should mean at 4 he should improve; Candy Ride horses generally improve about 6 points from 2 year old to 4 year old (See sire profile), so if he can improve a little he has a good chance.
I agree that Firenze Fire is iffy, given what we have learned about Servis, but he sure is fast, as is Mind Control,( weight and should lose ground), both of those will be short prices, so I am going with Vekoma, weird gate and all.

Great pattern, to me could improve a point or two after the multiple pairing of tops. Brief freshening, and race seems to set up for a closer, with at least a few speedy types in here.

I like ete indien\'s line. even with the outside post, his speed is enough to get position, and if he can stalk, rather than set the pace I like him the best.
Having said that Independence Hall could be moving back towards his top, even though they were X\'s, his last 2 races are pointing in the right direction. It should take a 2 year old some significant time to recover from what is about the fastest 2 year old number I have seen. He doesn\'t need to get all the way there, but close to his top may be enough.
Tiz the Law looks great also, but I have this disease where I try to beat the favorite..., to justify it I will point out his last was a 4 point new top (just big enough for concern), and he seems to have trouble in each race (tu notation for every race). Governeur Morris also looks like he could jump up today after running the same number in his 3 yo debut as his 2 yo top, Pletcher trained, has a 2nd in a grade 1.
Anyway, sadly for me today is probably the last day of betting for a while for all of us. Good luck to all and stay inside.

No Parole has a very interesting sheet to me. The $ sign from the first race,  means that the connections knew they had a very fast horse and that he was going to run well that day; and he did! Very fast number, and his next 2 were not as fast, but the (h) symbol could mean that he just coasted through the stretch in both of those races. He is the fastest horse so far and is going to be a decent price.

I also like Silver Slate, agree he is the horse to beat, but I also like #5 Moon over Miami- fastest horse who had a horrible trip in his last at GP, broke a step slow, and then was was carried out almost to the parking lot on the first turn, TG has 5W/4W, but also mentions 6W and 7W in the comments. After his fast AQ number in Dec a bounce could have been expected, so if he can work a decent trip here, and get close to his top then everyone else would need to improve to win. (I know alot of if\'s, but he is 10-1 on the ML).

La Feve does have a very nice line, and should run well today,but he has no real speed so I am worried that the trip will be a bad one from the inside, although I like the ML.

In the Pegasus, I like Mr. Freeze\'s line, ( and his ML) he has speed to get position, and could be rounding back to his top. I agree that this race is pretty wide open.

With this big a field, and all the horses numbers close, I am going with longshots, how about the 1, 88-1 last out after being gelded, and ran a very competitive figure, going widest of all finishing 2nd. If he can work an inside trip? Interesting race.

Bal Harbors last three races show an 0-2-X pattern? is he is ready to repeat his top ?

It would be a shock to me if any horse other than the four you mentioned win this race. It seems from the sheets that those 4 are way faster that all the others in the race, on top of that, except for War Story, all of the fast ones ran their top in their last, Quip\'s was a much faster number for him, a big jump in the number, but he has speed and will not have to be wide on either turn; Pavel and Seeking the Gold have never paired tops this fast.

War Story looks good to me. He has shown the ability to repeat his big efforts.
Not sure about the jockey switch, choosing to ignore and hope for the best.

I don\'t usually put too much stock in what an owner or trainer says before a race about how much they love their horse, I\'m sure he does and believes what he says, but the other trainers would say similar about their horses as well.

Good Luck